FC Porto 1–1 Nottingham Forest
Picked for matchday: Standout: Alan Varela scored 100.0
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.4 – 0.8
- Actual xG
- 2.2 – 0.4
- Goals
- 1 – 1
Footybot made FC Porto favourites at 52%.
FC Porto deserved more from the draw, creating 2.2 xG to 0.4.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Gabri Veiga, 72.9 in 59′.
Well above their usual level: Gabri Veiga +26.7, William Gomes +18.3, Stefan Ortega +17.2.
Well below it: Alberto Costa −11.9, Morgan Gibbs-White −9.1.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
FC Porto
| 4 Apr 2026 | D 2–2 | v Famalicão |
| 22 Mar 2026 | W 2–1 | at Sporting Braga |
| 19 Mar 2026 | W 2–0 | v VfB Stuttgart |
| 15 Mar 2026 | W 3–0 | v Moreirense |
| 12 Mar 2026 | W 2–1 | at VfB Stuttgart |
Nottingham Forest
| 22 Mar 2026 | W 3–0 | at Tottenham Hotspur |
| 19 Mar 2026 | W 2–1 | at FC Midtjylland |
| 15 Mar 2026 | D 0–0 | v Fulham |
| 12 Mar 2026 | L 0–1 | v FC Midtjylland |
| 4 Mar 2026 | D 2–2 | at Manchester City |
Head to head
| 23 Oct 2025 | Nottingham Forest 2–0 FC Porto |
FC Porto
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Varela | 16 | 100.0 | – |
| Gabri Veiga | 59 | 72.9 | +26.7 |
| Pepê | 31 | 67.3 | – |
| William Gomes | 90 | 65.4 | +18.3 |
| Seko Fofana | 74 | 64.7 | +14.1 |
| Jan Bednarek | 90 | 60.0 | +3.7 |
| Thiago Silva | 90 | 59.2 | +10.5 |
| Diogo Costa | 90 | 55.4 | +1.4 |
| Victor Froholdt | 31 | 54.4 | – |
| Pablo Rosario | 90 | 52.6 | +5.1 |
| Borja Sainz | 59 | 48.7 | +1.8 |
| Deniz Gül | 31 | 47.6 | – |
| Zaidu Sanusi | 90 | 46.1 | +5.2 |
| Terem Moffi | 59 | 43.7 | −0.5 |
| Martim Fernandes | 19 | 33.3 | – |
| Alberto Costa | 71 | 31.3 | −11.9 |
Nottingham Forest
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dilane Bakwa | 61 | 65.9 | +10.5 |
| Stefan Ortega | 90 | 65.8 | +17.2 |
| Ibrahim Sangaré | 16 | 62.1 | – |
| Dan Ndoye | 90 | 59.4 | +14.2 |
| Nikola Milenković | 45 | 58.7 | +10.8 |
| Neco Williams | 29 | 58.4 | – |
| Nicolás Domínguez | 90 | 57.2 | +8.3 |
| Chris Wood | 45 | 54.3 | +4.4 |
| Omari Hutchinson | 30 | 53.2 | – |
| Morato | 90 | 53.0 | +1.3 |
| Morgan Gibbs-White | 60 | 48.6 | −9.1 |
| James McAtee | 74 | 46.9 | −6.9 |
| Igor Jesus | 45 | 44.3 | −5.4 |
| Zach Abbott | 90 | 43.6 | −2.8 |
| Ryan Yates | 90 | 42.5 | −6.2 |
| Murillo | 45 | 41.6 | −3.9 |