Premier League 25/26 · 4 Mar 2026

Manchester City 2–2 Nottingham Forest

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Feb 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Manchester City favourites at 66%.

Manchester City deserved more from the draw, creating 2.1 xG to 1.0.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Rayan Aït-Nouri, 85.4 in 77′.

Well above their usual level: Rayan Aït-Nouri +24.4, Bernardo Silva +18.8, Elliot Anderson +13.7.

Well below it: Jair −17.8, Gianluigi Donnarumma −14.1, Erling Haaland −13.2.

Each side's last five results before this match.

28 Feb 2026	W 1–0	at Leeds United Premier League
21 Feb 2026	W 2–1	v Newcastle United Premier League
11 Feb 2026	W 3–0	v Fulham Premier League
8 Feb 2026	W 2–1	at Liverpool FC Premier League
1 Feb 2026	D 2–2	at Tottenham Hotspur Premier League

1 Mar 2026	L 1–2	at Brighton & Hove Albion Premier League
26 Feb 2026	L 1–2	v Fenerbahçe Europa League
22 Feb 2026	L 0–1	v Liverpool FC Premier League
19 Feb 2026	W 3–0	at Fenerbahçe Europa League
11 Feb 2026	D 0–0	v Wolverhampton Premier League

27 Dec 2025	Nottingham Forest 1–2 Manchester City Premier League

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Rayan Aït-Nouri Defender	77	0	1	–	85.4	+24.4
Jérémy Doku Midfielder	13	0	0	0.04	80.0	–
Rayan Cherki Midfielder	82	0	1	0.31	76.2	+11.3
Bernardo Silva Midfielder	90	0	0	0.28	74.1	+18.8
Rodri Midfielder	90	1	0	0.37	65.8	+3.7
Marc Guéhi Defender	90	0	0	0.24	61.4	+4.7
Rúben Dias Defender	90	0	0	–	55.2	−1.8
Phil Foden Midfielder	77	0	0	0.05	55.0	−1.6
Antoine Semenyo Midfielder	90	1	0	0.23	50.5	−0.2
Matheus Nunes Defender	90	0	0	–	49.7	−5.6
Erling Haaland Forward	90	0	0	0.10	41.0	−13.2
Gianluigi Donnarumma Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	39.7	−14.1
Abdukodir Khusanov Defender	13	0	0	–	33.0	–
Sávio Midfielder	8	0	0	0.49	32.1	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Elliot Anderson Midfielder	90	1	0	0.10	76.5	+13.7
Morgan Gibbs-White Midfielder	89	1	0	0.71	67.3	+10.8
Nicolás Domínguez Midfielder	63	0	0	–	58.0	+9.0
Ola Aina Defender	90	0	0	–	57.5	+5.4
Morato Defender	9	0	0	–	56.8	–
Ryan Yates Midfielder	9	0	0	0.11	51.7	–
Neco Williams Defender	89	0	0	–	50.5	−1.7
Callum Hudson Odoi Midfielder	27	0	1	–	48.0	–
Igor Jesus Forward	79	0	1	0.05	47.8	−3.9
Matz Sels Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	45.7	−5.8
Ibrahim Sangaré Midfielder	90	0	0	–	45.0	−4.7
Murillo Defender	90	0	0	–	41.7	−9.9
Jair Defender	90	0	0	–	38.3	−17.8
Nikola Milenković Defender	90	0	0	–	36.6	−12.5
Taiwo Awoniyi Forward	11	0	0	–	35.1	–