Premier League 25/26 · 8 Feb 2026

Liverpool FC 1–2 Manchester City

Picked for matchday: Two strong sides · Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 21% · Chances everywhere: 4.1 xG · Standout: Bernardo Silva scored 85.2

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Jan 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG: 1.7 – 1.0
Actual xG: 1.2 – 2.9
Goals: 1 – 2

Footybot made Liverpool FC favourites at 55%.

Manchester City won and made the better chances: 2.9 xG to 1.2.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Bernardo Silva, 85.2 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Bernardo Silva +32.8, Erling Haaland +31.3, Dominik Szoboszlai +14.0.

Well below it: Florian Wirtz −20.5, Virgil van Dijk −12.0, Antoine Semenyo −10.1.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Liverpool FC

31 Jan 2026	W 4–1	v Newcastle United Premier League
28 Jan 2026	W 6–0	v Qarabağ FK Champions League
24 Jan 2026	L 2–3	at Bournemouth Premier League
21 Jan 2026	W 3–0	at Olympique de Marseille Champions League
17 Jan 2026	D 1–1	v Burnley Premier League

Manchester City

1 Feb 2026	D 2–2	at Tottenham Hotspur Premier League
28 Jan 2026	W 2–0	v Galatasaray Champions League
24 Jan 2026	W 2–0	v Wolverhampton Premier League
20 Jan 2026	L 1–3	at Bodø/Glimt Champions League
17 Jan 2026	L 0–2	at Manchester United Premier League

Head to head

9 Nov 2025	Manchester City 3–0 Liverpool FC Premier League

Liverpool FC

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Dominik Szoboszlai Midfielder	90	1	0.06	72.6	+14.0
Cody Gakpo Midfielder	85	0	–	60.9	+7.7
Federico Chiesa Forward	11	0	0.01	55.1	–
Ibrahima Konaté Defender	90	0	–	53.6	−2.4
Alisson Goalkeeper	90	0	–	53.2	+2.6
Mohamed Salah Midfielder	90	0	0.33	52.8	−6.8
Miloš Kerkez Defender	89	0	–	51.2	−0.2
Hugo Ekitiké Forward	90	0	0.59	50.9	−6.5
Ryan Gravenberch Midfielder	90	0	0.02	48.5	−6.4
Virgil van Dijk Defender	90	0	–	43.9	−12.0
Alexis Mac Allister Midfielder	90	0	0.03	43.5	−7.3
Curtis Jones Midfielder	20	0	–	42.5	–
Florian Wirtz Midfielder	90	0	0.16	41.6	−20.5

Manchester City

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Bernardo Silva Midfielder	90	1	0	0.55	85.2	+32.8
Erling Haaland Forward	90	1	1	1.35	84.6	+31.3
Rúben Dias Defender	29	0	0	0.03	78.6	–
Rodri Midfielder	90	0	0	0.09	72.1	+10.6
Nathan Aké Defender	9	0	0	–	67.8	–
Rayan Aït-Nouri Defender	90	0	0	0.23	66.4	+6.4
Marc Guéhi Defender	90	0	0	0.04	61.7	+8.6
Gianluigi Donnarumma Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	61.2	+9.5
Matheus Nunes Defender	90	0	0	–	59.5	+0.8
Abdukodir Khusanov Defender	61	0	0	0.30	55.3	+0.4
Omar Marmoush Forward	61	0	0	0.08	52.8	+0.5
Nico O'Reilly Defender	90	0	0	–	51.3	−1.0
Rayan Cherki Midfielder	29	0	0	0.08	44.7	–
Antoine Semenyo Midfielder	89	0	0	0.17	44.0	−10.1