Premier League 25/26 · 1 Mar 2026

Brighton & Hove Albion 2–1 Nottingham Forest

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Feb 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Brighton & Hove Albion favourites at 55%.

Brighton & Hove Albion won and made the better chances: 1.3 xG to 0.8.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Pascal Groß, 72.2 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Morgan Gibbs-White +16.6, Pascal Groß +12.1, Callum Hudson Odoi +10.6.

Well below it: Omari Hutchinson −19.5, James Milner −13.0, Mats Wieffer −11.9.

Each side's last five results before this match.

21 Feb 2026	W 2–0	at Brentford Premier League
11 Feb 2026	L 0–1	at Aston Villa Premier League
8 Feb 2026	L 0–1	v Crystal Palace Premier League
31 Jan 2026	D 1–1	v Everton Premier League
24 Jan 2026	L 1–2	at Fulham Premier League

26 Feb 2026	L 1–2	v Fenerbahçe Europa League
22 Feb 2026	L 0–1	v Liverpool FC Premier League
19 Feb 2026	W 3–0	at Fenerbahçe Europa League
11 Feb 2026	D 0–0	v Wolverhampton Premier League
6 Feb 2026	L 1–3	at Leeds United Premier League

30 Nov 2025	Nottingham Forest 0–2 Brighton & Hove Albion Premier League

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Maxim De Cuyper Defender	1	0	0	–	100.0	–
Pascal Groß Midfielder	90	0	1	0.02	72.2	+12.1
Carlos Baleba Midfielder	11	0	0	–	63.9	–
Diego Gómez Midfielder	86	1	0	0.06	62.7	+9.2
Danny Welbeck Forward	90	1	0	0.38	60.2	+9.0
Kaoru Mitoma Midfielder	89	0	0	0.62	53.3	−0.1
Jan Paul van Hecke Defender	90	0	0	–	53.3	−3.4
Lewis Dunk Defender	90	0	0	–	53.1	−5.1
Bart Verbruggen Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	52.7	−1.2
Mats Wieffer Defender	71	0	0	0.10	48.1	−11.9
Joël Veltman Defender	19	0	0	–	45.8	–
James Milner Midfielder	86	0	0	–	43.7	−13.0
Ferdi Kadıoğlu Defender	90	0	0	0.03	39.4	−11.3
Jack Hinshelwood Midfielder	90	0	1	0.12	38.8	−7.6

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Dan Ndoye Midfielder	8	0	0	–	100.0	–
Morgan Gibbs-White Midfielder	90	1	0	0.18	71.6	+16.6
Callum Hudson Odoi Midfielder	74	0	0	0.05	68.0	+10.6
Elliot Anderson Midfielder	90	0	0	0.06	61.8	+0.3
Luca Netz Defender	34	0	0	–	55.8	–
Igor Jesus Forward	83	0	1	0.12	53.0	+2.9
Ibrahim Sangaré Midfielder	90	0	0	0.08	52.2	+0.5
Matz Sels Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	52.1	−0.2
Murillo Defender	90	0	0	–	49.6	−1.6
Ola Aina Defender	82	0	0	–	45.4	−7.2
Nikola Milenković Defender	90	0	0	–	45.2	−3.8
Taiwo Awoniyi Forward	14	0	0	0.06	43.6	–
Jair Defender	34	0	0	0.16	43.3	–
Neco Williams Defender	56	0	0	–	41.5	−10.7
Omari Hutchinson Midfielder	56	0	0	0.02	39.4	−19.5
Dilane Bakwa Midfielder	16	0	0	0.06	32.5	–