UEFA Europa League 25/26, Round of 16 · 12 Mar 2026

Nottingham Forest 0–1 FC Midtjylland

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Feb 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Nottingham Forest favourites at 63%.

FC Midtjylland won although Nottingham Forest made the better chances (1.7 xG to 0.7): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Philip Billing, 70.9 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Philip Billing +18.5, Neco Williams +17.8, Elías Ólafsson +14.8.

Each side's last five results before this match.

4 Mar 2026	D 2–2	at Manchester City Premier League
1 Mar 2026	L 1–2	at Brighton & Hove Albion Premier League
26 Feb 2026	L 1–2	v Fenerbahçe Europa League
22 Feb 2026	L 0–1	v Liverpool FC Premier League
19 Feb 2026	W 3–0	at Fenerbahçe Europa League

29 Jan 2026	W 2–0	v GNK Dinamo Zagreb Europa League
22 Jan 2026	D 3–3	at SK Brann Europa League
11 Dec 2025	W 1–0	v KRC Genk Europa League
27 Nov 2025	L 1–2	at AS Roma Europa League
6 Nov 2025	W 3–1	v Celtic Europa League

2 Oct 2025	Nottingham Forest 2–3 FC Midtjylland Europa League

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Neco Williams Defender	45	–	69.6	+17.8
Ibrahim Sangaré Midfielder	21	0.03	57.2	–
Dilane Bakwa Midfielder	8	–	50.3	–
Omari Hutchinson Midfielder	90	0.21	50.1	−7.7
Igor Jesus Forward	69	0.55	47.2	−5.3
Elliot Anderson Midfielder	90	0.14	46.6	−18.4
Nicolás Domínguez Midfielder	69	0.05	44.4	−6.2
Callum Hudson Odoi Midfielder	90	0.01	44.3	−13.7
Ola Aina Defender	82	0.21	43.8	−9.9
Morgan Gibbs-White Midfielder	90	0.37	43.8	−14.3
Matz Sels Goalkeeper	90	–	43.3	−8.2
Morato Defender	45	–	42.9	−8.8
Nikola Milenković Defender	81	–	39.5	−8.5
Lorenzo Lucca Forward	21	0.09	38.6	–
Murillo Defender	90	0.06	37.7	−12.5
Jair Defender	9	–	15.0	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Philip Billing Midfielder	90	0	0	–	70.9	+18.5
Gue-sung Cho Forward	33	1	0	0.08	70.7	–
Elías Ólafsson Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	65.8	+14.8
Han-Beom Lee Defender	30	0	0	–	62.9	–
Ousmane Diao Defender	90	0	1	–	53.8	−0.8
Valdemar Byskov Midfielder	45	0	0	0.06	52.8	+4.0
Júnior Brumado Forward	57	0	0	0.48	52.2	+4.7
Martin Erlić Defender	90	0	0	–	52.2	−7.3
Kevin Mbabu Defender	60	0	0	–	48.1	−3.7
Pedro Bravo Midfielder	90	0	0	–	46.1	−4.3
Mikael Uhre Forward	33	0	0	0.02	42.7	–
Denil Castillo Midfielder	45	0	0	–	41.4	−4.3
Victor Bak Jensen Midfielder	90	0	0	0.06	39.0	−5.0
Aral Şimşir Forward	57	0	0	–	38.7	−21.1
Mads Bech Sørensen Defender	90	0	0	–	38.6	−8.1