Matchday

UEFA Europa League 25/26, Round of 16 · 19 Mar 2026

FC Midtjylland 1–2 Nottingham Forest

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Feb 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.4 – 1.2
Actual xG
0.7 – 2.1
Goals
1 – 2

Footybot made FC Midtjylland favourites at 41%.

Nottingham Forest won and made the better chances: 2.1 xG to 0.7.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Dilane Bakwa, 73.8 in 75′.

FC Midtjylland

PlayerMinGAxGScore
Martin Erlić Defender120100.0957.7
Adam Gabriel Defender30000.0156.8
Elías Ólafsson Goalkeeper12000–55.9
Aral Şimşir Forward7500–48.3
Valdemar Byskov Midfielder4500–47.4
Júnior Brumado Forward5600–46.4
Denil Castillo Midfielder120000.3645.6
Mads Bech Sørensen Defender120000.0244.7
Darío Osorio Midfielder103000.0743.5
Gue-sung Cho Forward64000.1243.3
Philip Billing Midfielder4500–42.2
Pedro Bravo Midfielder120000.0441.1
Ousmane Diao Defender9000–41.0
Han-Beom Lee Defender7500–39.9
Victor Bak Jensen Midfielder12000–39.7
Edward Chilufya Forward1700–36.3

Nottingham Forest

PlayerMinGAxGScore
Dilane Bakwa Midfielder75000.0873.8
Omari Hutchinson Midfielder61000.1259.8
James McAtee Midfielder75010.0758.6
Nicolás Domínguez Midfielder90100.2358.3
Nikola Milenković Defender6101–55.3
Morgan Gibbs-White Midfielder59000.3152.1
Dan Ndoye Midfielder6100–51.4
Elliot Anderson Midfielder4500–47.6
Ryan Yates Midfielder120100.6347.3
Morato Defender12000–47.3
Zach Abbott Defender12000–47.1
Ibrahim Sangaré Midfielder3000–47.1
Stefan Ortega Goalkeeper12000–46.8
Lorenzo Lucca Forward120000.4846.5
Murillo Defender5900–40.7
Ola Aina Defender45000.1638.8
Neco Williams Defender5900–35.0