Premier League 25/26 · 12 Apr 2026

Nottingham Forest 1–1 Aston Villa

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Mar 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Nottingham Forest favourites at 53%.

A draw the chances agree with: 1.2 xG to 1.0.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Lucas Digne, 71.8 in 78′.

Well above their usual level: Lucas Digne +18.6, Matz Sels +13.5, John McGinn +10.5.

Each side's last five results before this match.

9 Apr 2026	D 1–1	at FC Porto Europa League
22 Mar 2026	W 3–0	at Tottenham Hotspur Premier League
19 Mar 2026	W 2–1	at FC Midtjylland Europa League
15 Mar 2026	D 0–0	v Fulham Premier League
12 Mar 2026	L 0–1	v FC Midtjylland Europa League

9 Apr 2026	W 3–1	at Bologna Europa League
22 Mar 2026	W 2–0	v West Ham United Premier League
19 Mar 2026	W 2–0	v Lille Europa League
15 Mar 2026	L 1–3	at Manchester United Premier League
12 Mar 2026	W 1–0	at Lille Europa League

3 Jan 2026	Aston Villa 3–1 Nottingham Forest Premier League

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Dan Ndoye Midfielder	1	0	0	–	97.4	–
Matz Sels Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	64.3	+13.5
Neco Williams Defender	90	1	0	0.14	61.3	+8.4
Elliot Anderson Midfielder	90	0	0	0.05	56.6	−2.8
Callum Hudson Odoi Midfielder	90	0	1	0.12	56.4	−1.2
Ola Aina Defender	89	0	0	–	53.5	+2.6
Chris Wood Forward	25	0	0	0.17	48.1	–
Ibrahim Sangaré Midfielder	90	0	0	–	46.3	−3.1
Omari Hutchinson Midfielder	65	0	0	–	45.7	−10.5
Igor Jesus Forward	89	0	0	0.29	44.4	−5.9
Nikola Milenković Defender	90	0	0	–	44.2	−4.1
Murillo Defender	90	0	0	0.13	41.3	−3.8
Morgan Gibbs-White Midfielder	84	0	0	0.31	40.5	−16.2
Ryan Yates Midfielder	1	0	0	–	36.1	–
Nicolás Domínguez Midfielder	11	0	0	–	34.3	–

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Emiliano Buendía Midfielder	12	–	95.3	–
Ian Maatsen Defender	12	0.18	84.8	–
Lucas Digne Defender	78	–	71.8	+18.6
Douglas Luiz Midfielder	13	–	67.6	–
John McGinn Midfielder	90	0.10	62.7	+10.5
Andrés García Defender	1	–	62.7	–
Youri Tielemans Midfielder	90	0.03	58.1	−2.8
Amadou Onana Midfielder	90	0.02	58.0	+8.6
Marco Bizot Goalkeeper	90	–	54.9	−3.8
Morgan Rogers Midfielder	78	0.19	53.4	+5.1
Ross Barkley Midfielder	77	0.02	51.4	−9.5
Ollie Watkins Forward	87	0.20	45.7	−2.8
Pau Torres Defender	90	–	45.1	−3.8
Victor Lindelöf Defender	90	0.23	44.7	−2.1
Matty Cash Defender	89	0.02	40.7	−6.9
Tammy Abraham Forward	8	–	38.1	–