Premier League 25/26 · 15 Mar 2026

Manchester United 3–1 Aston Villa

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Feb 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Manchester United favourites at 64%.

Manchester United won a close one on the chances: 1.1 xG to 1.0.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Ross Barkley, 68.2 in 82′.

Well above their usual level: Emiliano Buendía +14.0, Morgan Rogers +12.8, Ross Barkley +11.5.

Well below it: Emiliano Martínez −16.5, Bryan Mbeumo −15.5.

Each side's last five results before this match.

4 Mar 2026	L 1–2	at Newcastle United Premier League
1 Mar 2026	W 2–1	v Crystal Palace Premier League
23 Feb 2026	W 1–0	at Everton Premier League
10 Feb 2026	D 1–1	at West Ham United Premier League
7 Feb 2026	W 2–0	v Tottenham Hotspur Premier League

12 Mar 2026	W 1–0	at Lille Europa League
4 Mar 2026	L 1–4	v Chelsea Premier League
27 Feb 2026	L 0–2	at Wolverhampton Premier League
21 Feb 2026	D 1–1	v Leeds United Premier League
11 Feb 2026	W 1–0	v Brighton & Hove Albion Premier League

21 Dec 2025	Aston Villa 2–1 Manchester United Premier League

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Benjamin Šeško Forward	15	1	0	0.27	100.0	–
Bruno Fernandes Midfielder	90	0	2	0.11	66.4	−4.1
Casemiro Midfielder	89	1	0	0.11	58.1	−0.2
Kobbie Mainoo Midfielder	90	0	0	–	51.8	+0.5
Matheus Cunha Forward	90	1	0	0.22	50.4	+0.9
Amad Diallo Midfielder	90	0	0	0.13	49.6	−6.6
Leny Yoro Defender	90	0	0	–	48.8	−3.4
Harry Maguire Defender	90	0	0	–	48.6	−7.1
Luke Shaw Defender	90	0	0	–	47.3	−4.6
Diogo Dalot Defender	90	0	0	0.15	45.5	−7.5
Senne Lammens Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	44.5	−6.4
Bryan Mbeumo Forward	75	0	0	0.08	42.4	−15.5
Manuel Ugarte Midfielder	8	0	0	–	37.2	–

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Douglas Luiz Midfielder	8	0	–	74.5	–
Ross Barkley Midfielder	82	1	0.11	68.2	+11.5
Morgan Rogers Midfielder	90	0	0.09	63.3	+12.8
Tyrone Mings Defender	90	0	0.36	62.0	+7.4
Emiliano Buendía Midfielder	86	0	0.19	60.5	+14.0
Lucas Digne Defender	82	0	–	60.2	+8.5
Tammy Abraham Forward	30	0	–	59.7	–
Leon Bailey Forward	29	0	0.04	57.3	–
John McGinn Midfielder	61	0	0.06	57.1	+6.3
Lamare Bogarde Midfielder	90	0	–	55.7	+11.3
Amadou Onana Midfielder	90	0	0.18	51.8	+2.6
Andrés García Defender	13	0	–	51.4	–
Ezri Konsa Defender	90	0	–	48.4	−4.5
Ollie Watkins Forward	60	0	–	43.1	−3.5
Ian Maatsen Defender	8	0	–	37.9	–
Emiliano Martínez Goalkeeper	90	0	–	36.2	−16.5