Premier League 25/26 · 4 Mar 2026

Aston Villa 1–4 Chelsea

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Feb 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Aston Villa favourites at 42%.

Chelsea won and made the better chances: 3.6 xG to 0.8.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: João Pedro, 100.0 in 85′.

Well above their usual level: João Pedro +43.3, Alejandro Garnacho +25.7, Cole Palmer +19.5.

Well below it: Matty Cash −21.7, Emiliano Martínez −16.8, Morgan Rogers −15.8.

Each side's last five results before this match.

27 Feb 2026	L 0–2	at Wolverhampton Premier League
21 Feb 2026	D 1–1	v Leeds United Premier League
14 Feb 2026	L 1–3	v Newcastle United FA Cup
11 Feb 2026	W 1–0	v Brighton & Hove Albion Premier League
7 Feb 2026	D 1–1	at Bournemouth Premier League

1 Mar 2026	L 1–2	at Arsenal Premier League
21 Feb 2026	D 1–1	v Burnley Premier League
13 Feb 2026	W 4–0	at Hull City FA Cup
10 Feb 2026	D 2–2	v Leeds United Premier League
7 Feb 2026	W 3–1	at Wolverhampton Premier League

27 Dec 2025	Chelsea 1–2 Aston Villa Premier League

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Jadon Sancho Midfielder	27	0	0	–	74.8	–
Ross Barkley Midfielder	27	0	0	0.01	73.5	–
Douglas Luiz Midfielder	63	1	0	0.14	52.7	−4.0
Tammy Abraham Forward	19	0	0	0.25	52.3	–
Leon Bailey Forward	63	0	1	–	50.1	+2.2
Emiliano Buendía Midfielder	63	0	0	–	49.9	+1.6
Tyrone Mings Defender	90	0	0	–	48.4	−4.5
Ollie Watkins Forward	71	0	0	0.20	43.1	−3.9
Amadou Onana Midfielder	90	0	0	–	42.9	−6.2
Alysson Midfielder	27	0	0	0.05	41.9	–
Lamare Bogarde Midfielder	45	0	0	–	40.8	−3.3
Ezri Konsa Defender	90	0	0	–	40.1	−12.6
Ian Maatsen Defender	90	0	0	–	39.5	−10.3
Emiliano Martínez Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	35.4	−16.8
Morgan Rogers Midfielder	90	0	0	0.13	33.2	−15.8
Matty Cash Defender	45	0	0	–	32.6	−21.7

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
João Pedro Forward	85	3	1	2.61	100.0	+43.3
Alejandro Garnacho Forward	90	0	1	0.46	78.9	+25.7
Cole Palmer Midfielder	85	1	0	0.15	71.9	+19.5
Enzo Fernández Midfielder	79	0	1	0.04	65.6	+9.2
Marc Cucurella Defender	11	0	0	–	61.8	–
Reece James Defender	90	0	0	0.04	59.2	+4.0
Jorrel Hato Defender	90	0	0	0.04	55.4	+6.1
Filip Jørgensen Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	52.4	+6.6
Wesley Fofana Defender	79	0	0	0.25	51.6	−9.4
Tosin Adarabioyo Defender	11	0	0	–	50.6	–
Roméo Lavia Midfielder	15	0	0	–	48.9	–
Malo Gusto Defender	75	0	1	–	46.6	+0.7
Trevoh Chalobah Defender	90	0	0	–	46.2	−14.3
Moisés Caicedo Midfielder	90	0	0	–	44.6	−10.1
Andrey Santos Midfielder	12	0	0	–	42.3	–
Liam Delap Forward	12	0	0	–	34.9	–