Matchday

Premier League 25/26 · 1 Mar 2026

Arsenal 2–1 Chelsea

Picked for matchday: Two strong sides · Standout: Tosin Adarabioyo scored 100.0

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Feb 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
2.0 – 0.9
Actual xG
1.1 – 1.1
Goals
2 – 1

Footybot made Arsenal favourites at 63%.

Arsenal won a close one on the chances: 1.1 xG to 1.1.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Reece James, 95.6 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Reece James +44.2, Jorrel Hato +17.6, David Raya +14.8.

Well below it: Piero Hincapié −17.9, Pedro Neto −17.0, Cole Palmer −14.8.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Arsenal

22 Feb 2026W 4–1at Tottenham Hotspur Premier League
18 Feb 2026D 2–2at Wolverhampton Premier League
15 Feb 2026W 4–0v Wigan Athletic FA Cup
12 Feb 2026D 1–1at Brentford Premier League
7 Feb 2026W 3–0v Sunderland Premier League

Chelsea

21 Feb 2026D 1–1v Burnley Premier League
13 Feb 2026W 4–0at Hull City FA Cup
10 Feb 2026D 2–2v Leeds United Premier League
7 Feb 2026W 3–1at Wolverhampton Premier League
3 Feb 2026L 0–1at Arsenal EFL Cup

Head to head

3 Feb 2026Arsenal 1–0 Chelsea EFL Cup
14 Jan 2026Chelsea 2–3 Arsenal EFL Cup
30 Nov 2025Chelsea 1–1 Arsenal Premier League

Arsenal

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Gabriel Magalhães Defender90010.0362.3+7.2
David Raya Goalkeeper9000–60.7+14.8
Jurriën Timber Defender90100.4059.7+12.7
Declan Rice Midfielder76010.0456.8−6.5
William Saliba Defender90100.2654.6+1.2
Bukayo Saka Forward90000.0153.9−7.0
Kai Havertz Forward1400–52.3–
Leandro Trossard Forward56000.0349.4−0.9
Martín Zubimendi Midfielder90000.0845.0−6.8
Gabriel Martinelli Forward3400–45.0–
Eberechi Eze Midfielder90000.2041.6−9.1
Viktor Gyökeres Forward76000.0337.7−13.6
Piero Hincapié Defender9000–36.6−17.9
Christian Nørgaard Midfielder1400–32.9–

Chelsea

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Tosin Adarabioyo Defender100–100.0–
Reece James Defender9000–95.6+44.2
Roméo Lavia Midfielder1500–79.4–
Trevoh Chalobah Defender9000–71.0+12.8
Jorrel Hato Defender7500–65.6+17.6
João Pedro Forward90000.4958.0+2.3
Moisés Caicedo Midfielder90000.0557.8+4.3
Mamadou Sarr Defender89000.4452.5−0.6
Malo Gusto Defender1500–51.6–
Andrey Santos Midfielder7500–49.4−0.3
Enzo Fernández Midfielder86000.0447.3−10.2
Robert Sánchez Goalkeeper9000–47.0−5.7
Cole Palmer Midfielder86000.0340.5−14.8
Alejandro Garnacho Forward1100–36.9–
Pedro Neto Midfielder70000.0336.6−17.0
Liam Delap Forward1100–35.8–