Chelsea 1–1 Burnley
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 2.6 – 0.7
- Actual xG
- 1.9 – 0.8
- Goals
- 1 – 1
Footybot made Chelsea favourites at 78%.
Chelsea deserved more from the draw, creating 1.9 xG to 0.8.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Lucas Pires, 74.6 in 45′.
Well above their usual level: Lucas Pires +25.7, Joe Worrall +13.7.
Well below it: Enzo Fernández −27.6, Reece James −20.3, Malo Gusto −14.0.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Chelsea
| 10 Feb 2026 | D 2–2 | v Leeds United |
| 7 Feb 2026 | W 3–1 | at Wolverhampton |
| 31 Jan 2026 | W 3–2 | v West Ham United |
| 28 Jan 2026 | W 3–2 | at SSC Napoli |
| 25 Jan 2026 | W 3–1 | at Crystal Palace |
Burnley
| 11 Feb 2026 | W 3–2 | at Crystal Palace |
| 7 Feb 2026 | L 0–2 | v West Ham United |
| 2 Feb 2026 | L 0–3 | at Sunderland |
| 24 Jan 2026 | D 2–2 | v Tottenham Hotspur |
| 17 Jan 2026 | D 1–1 | at Liverpool FC |
Head to head
| 22 Nov 2025 | Burnley 0–2 Chelsea |
Chelsea
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jorrel Hato | 10 | 84.8 | – |
| Pedro Neto | 88 | 57.8 | +5.6 |
| João Pedro | 80 | 57.3 | −3.6 |
| Wesley Fofana | 72 | 56.7 | −7.1 |
| Trevoh Chalobah | 90 | 54.8 | −2.0 |
| Robert Sánchez | 90 | 51.9 | +0.4 |
| Moisés Caicedo | 90 | 49.5 | −5.4 |
| Cole Palmer | 75 | 45.9 | −8.7 |
| Andrey Santos | 90 | 44.3 | −7.7 |
| Josh Acheampong | 8 | 42.8 | – |
| Liam Delap | 10 | 37.5 | – |
| Reece James | 89 | 35.5 | −20.3 |
| Malo Gusto | 80 | 35.2 | −14.0 |
| Enzo Fernández | 90 | 34.8 | −27.6 |
| Mamadou Sarr | 9 | 33.2 | – |
| Tosin Adarabioyo | 15 | 32.8 | – |
Burnley
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Loum Tchaouna | 14 | 99.5 | – |
| James Ward-Prowse | 33 | 89.3 | – |
| Lucas Pires | 45 | 74.6 | +25.7 |
| Jacob Bruun Larsen | 12 | 67.5 | – |
| Joe Worrall | 90 | 59.9 | +13.7 |
| Zian Flemming | 90 | 55.9 | +4.1 |
| Jaidon Anthony | 84 | 54.6 | +3.9 |
| Josh Laurent | 78 | 49.7 | +3.5 |
| Hannibal Mejbri | 90 | 48.1 | −2.0 |
| Maxime Estève | 90 | 47.3 | −10.0 |
| Martin Dúbravka | 90 | 44.9 | −8.8 |
| Marcus Edwards | 90 | 43.8 | −5.4 |
| Lesley Ugochukwu | 57 | 43.2 | +0.0 |
| Bashir Humphreys | 83 | 42.0 | −5.6 |
| Kyle Walker | 45 | 35.5 | −5.5 |
| Ashley Barnes | 13 | 34.7 | – |