Crystal Palace 2–3 Burnley
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 2.6 – 0.8
- Actual xG
- 1.8 – 0.5
- Goals
- 2 – 3
Footybot made Crystal Palace favourites at 76%.
Burnley won although Crystal Palace made the better chances (1.8 xG to 0.5): a result the chances didn't back.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Daniel Muñoz, 74.6 in 72′.
Well above their usual level: Daniel Muñoz +26.3, Jørgen Strand Larsen +13.6, Jaidon Anthony +13.1.
Well below it: Ismaïla Sarr −16.2, Martin Dúbravka −15.7, Chris Richards −15.5.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Crystal Palace
| 8 Feb 2026 | W 1–0 | at Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 1 Feb 2026 | D 1–1 | at Nottingham Forest |
| 25 Jan 2026 | L 1–3 | v Chelsea |
| 17 Jan 2026 | L 1–2 | at Sunderland |
| 10 Jan 2026 | L 1–2 | at Macclesfield FC |
Burnley
| 7 Feb 2026 | L 0–2 | v West Ham United |
| 2 Feb 2026 | L 0–3 | at Sunderland |
| 24 Jan 2026 | D 2–2 | v Tottenham Hotspur |
| 17 Jan 2026 | D 1–1 | at Liverpool FC |
| 10 Jan 2026 | W 5–1 | v Millwall |
Head to head
| 3 Dec 2025 | Burnley 0–1 Crystal Palace |
Crystal Palace
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Muñoz | 72 | 74.6 | +26.3 |
| Yéremy Pino | 18 | 63.4 | – |
| Maxence Lacroix | 90 | 63.1 | +6.5 |
| Will Hughes | 18 | 61.7 | – |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen | 90 | 59.8 | +13.6 |
| Daichi Kamada | 72 | 54.9 | +5.5 |
| Jefferson Lerma | 45 | 54.1 | +2.8 |
| Brennan Johnson | 32 | 47.4 | – |
| Chadi Riad | 45 | 46.5 | – |
| Adam Wharton | 83 | 41.6 | −9.6 |
| Evann Guessand | 58 | 40.2 | −5.9 |
| Tyrick Mitchell | 90 | 40.1 | −5.5 |
| Christantus Uche | 13 | 39.9 | – |
| Chris Richards | 90 | 39.7 | −15.5 |
| Dean Henderson | 90 | 38.7 | −8.6 |
| Ismaïla Sarr | 90 | 36.8 | −16.2 |
Burnley
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| James Ward-Prowse | 13 | 69.6 | – |
| Florentino Luís | 9 | 64.0 | – |
| Maxime Estève | 90 | 62.5 | +8.1 |
| Jaidon Anthony | 90 | 61.2 | +13.1 |
| Hannibal Mejbri | 83 | 57.7 | +3.9 |
| Jacob Bruun Larsen | 17 | 55.8 | – |
| Bashir Humphreys | 90 | 51.0 | +6.5 |
| Joe Worrall | 90 | 49.0 | +3.9 |
| Marcus Edwards | 73 | 45.9 | −1.1 |
| Lesley Ugochukwu | 87 | 44.5 | +2.1 |
| Zian Flemming | 73 | 44.0 | −6.1 |
| Lyle Foster | 17 | 40.2 | – |
| Josh Laurent | 90 | 38.0 | −7.3 |
| Martin Dúbravka | 90 | 37.4 | −15.7 |
| Kyle Walker | 90 | 34.9 | −5.7 |