FA Cup 25/26, Round 3 · 10 Jan 2026

Burnley 5–1 Millwall

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Burnley favourites at 60%.

Burnley won and made the better chances: 3.0 xG to 1.2.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Max Weiss, 62.1 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Joe Bryan +20.3, Alfie Doughty +16.8, Billy Mitchell +11.3.

Each side's last five results before this match.

7 Jan 2026	D 2–2	v Manchester United Premier League
3 Jan 2026	L 0–2	at Brighton & Hove Albion Premier League
30 Dec 2025	L 1–3	v Newcastle United Premier League
27 Dec 2025	D 0–0	v Everton Premier League
20 Dec 2025	D 1–1	at Bournemouth Premier League

4 Jan 2026	W 2–1	v Swansea City Championship
1 Jan 2026	D 0–0	at Southampton Championship
29 Dec 2025	W 2–1	v Bristol City Championship
26 Dec 2025	D 0–0	v Ipswich Town Championship
20 Dec 2025	L 0–2	at Blackburn Rovers Championship

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Jaydon Banel Midfielder	12	1	0	1.02	75.6	–
Max Weiss Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	62.1	–
Jacob Bruun Larsen Forward	78	0	2	0.22	52.4	+3.8
Jaidon Anthony Midfielder	90	1	0	0.21	51.2	+6.9
Hannibal Mejbri Midfielder	24	0	0	–	49.6	–
Ashley Barnes Midfielder	90	2	0	1.16	49.1	–
Oliver Sonne Defender	90	0	0	–	47.7	+6.9
Lesley Ugochukwu Midfielder	66	0	0	–	44.0	+1.0
Maxime Estève Defender	90	0	0	–	43.7	−12.2
Florentino Luís Midfielder	24	0	0	–	42.9	–
Loum Tchaouna Midfielder	90	1	0	0.42	42.5	+1.4
Hjalmar Ekdal Defender	90	0	1	–	41.6	−8.7
Josh Laurent Midfielder	66	0	0	–	36.8	−7.3
Quilindschy Hartman Defender	90	0	0	–	34.9	−8.9

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Josh Coburn Forward	29	1	0	0.28	77.4	–
Rafiq Lamptey Midfielder	24	0	1	–	65.0	–
Alfie Doughty Midfielder	83	0	0	–	60.8	+16.8
Joe Bryan Defender	90	0	0	–	57.9	+20.3
Billy Mitchell Midfielder	61	0	0	0.07	52.5	+11.3
Jake Cooper Defender	90	0	0	0.13	45.4	−2.5
Raees Bangura-Williams Midfielder	90	0	0	–	44.9	+7.2
Jack Howland Forward	29	0	0	–	43.2	–
Macaulay Langstaff Forward	61	0	0	0.39	42.3	+2.0
Kamarl Grant Defender	90	0	0	0.07	40.3	−7.7
Danny McNamara Defender	24	0	0	–	40.2	–
Aidomo Emakhu Forward	90	0	0	0.17	39.7	+1.5
Ajay Matthews Forward	12	0	0	–	38.9	–
Thierno Ballo Midfielder	66	0	0	0.10	33.1	−1.5
Ryan Leonard Defender	66	0	0	–	26.9	−2.8
Steven Benda Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	20.0	−26.1