Burnley 2–2 Manchester United
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.4 – 1.7
- Actual xG
- 0.2 – 2.2
- Goals
- 2 – 2
Footybot made Manchester United favourites at 45%.
Manchester United deserved more from the draw, creating 2.2 xG to 0.2.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Bruno Fernandes, 87.5 in 61′.
Well above their usual level: Benjamin Šeško +16.9, Bruno Fernandes +15.8, Lisandro Martínez +11.4.
Well below it: Kyle Walker −14.3, Florentino Luís −12.1, Hannibal Mejbri −10.2.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Burnley
| 3 Jan 2026 | L 0–2 | at Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 30 Dec 2025 | L 1–3 | v Newcastle United |
| 27 Dec 2025 | D 0–0 | v Everton |
| 20 Dec 2025 | D 1–1 | at Bournemouth |
| 13 Dec 2025 | L 2–3 | v Fulham |
Manchester United
| 4 Jan 2026 | D 1–1 | at Leeds United |
| 30 Dec 2025 | D 1–1 | v Wolverhampton |
| 26 Dec 2025 | W 1–0 | v Newcastle United |
| 21 Dec 2025 | L 1–2 | at Aston Villa |
| 15 Dec 2025 | D 4–4 | v Bournemouth |
Head to head
| 30 Aug 2025 | Manchester United 3–2 Burnley |
Burnley
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jaidon Anthony | 32 | 81.6 | – |
| Martin Dúbravka | 90 | 56.2 | +9.2 |
| Maxime Estève | 90 | 53.6 | −3.0 |
| Marcus Edwards | 89 | 52.7 | +1.0 |
| Lyle Foster | 14 | 49.3 | – |
| Bashir Humphreys | 90 | 47.2 | −0.1 |
| Armando Broja | 76 | 45.6 | −1.1 |
| Lesley Ugochukwu | 90 | 45.0 | +1.3 |
| Lucas Pires | 90 | 43.4 | −2.3 |
| Josh Laurent | 90 | 41.7 | −3.7 |
| Florentino Luís | 90 | 39.3 | −12.1 |
| Hannibal Mejbri | 58 | 39.1 | −10.2 |
| Kyle Walker | 90 | 31.6 | −14.3 |
| Oliver Sonne | 1 | 0.0 | – |
Manchester United
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bruno Fernandes | 61 | 87.5 | +15.8 |
| Kobbie Mainoo | 16 | 80.7 | – |
| Patrick Dorgu | 90 | 68.4 | +9.4 |
| Benjamin Šeško | 90 | 65.1 | +16.9 |
| Casemiro | 74 | 63.2 | +5.6 |
| Lisandro Martínez | 90 | 63.1 | +11.4 |
| Diogo Dalot | 90 | 60.8 | +6.5 |
| Ayden Heaven | 61 | 57.7 | +3.0 |
| Luke Shaw | 90 | 52.1 | +1.3 |
| Mason Mount | 29 | 52.0 | – |
| Manuel Ugarte | 84 | 51.2 | +1.8 |
| Joshua Zirkzee | 16 | 48.5 | – |
| Matheus Cunha | 74 | 47.9 | −9.7 |
| Leny Yoro | 29 | 44.2 | – |
| Senne Lammens | 90 | 41.9 | −3.9 |
| Shea Lacey | 12 | 38.8 | – |