EFL Cup 25/26, Semifinals · 3 Feb 2026

Arsenal 1–0 Chelsea

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Jan 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Arsenal favourites at 66%.

Arsenal won a close one on the chances: 0.7 xG to 0.9.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Enzo Fernández, 78.0 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Enzo Fernández +19.0, Marc Cucurella +11.5, Gabriel Magalhães +10.6.

Well below it: Declan Rice −21.2, Gabriel Martinelli −15.4, João Pedro −15.0.

Each side's last five results before this match.

31 Jan 2026	W 4–0	at Leeds United Premier League
28 Jan 2026	W 3–2	v FC Kairat Almaty Champions League
25 Jan 2026	L 2–3	v Manchester United Premier League
20 Jan 2026	W 3–1	at Inter Champions League
17 Jan 2026	D 0–0	at Nottingham Forest Premier League

31 Jan 2026	W 3–2	v West Ham United Premier League
28 Jan 2026	W 3–2	at SSC Napoli Champions League
25 Jan 2026	W 3–1	at Crystal Palace Premier League
21 Jan 2026	W 1–0	v Pafos FC Champions League
17 Jan 2026	W 2–0	v Brentford Premier League

14 Jan 2026	Chelsea 2–3 Arsenal EFL Cup
30 Nov 2025	Chelsea 1–1 Arsenal Premier League

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Kai Havertz Forward	21	1	0	0.25	98.4	–
Gabriel Magalhães Defender	90	0	0	0.09	60.6	+10.6
Kepa Arrizabalaga Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	57.1	+8.1
Martín Zubimendi Midfielder	90	0	0	–	51.7	−3.7
Piero Hincapié Defender	90	0	0	0.04	50.4	−1.6
William Saliba Defender	90	0	0	–	49.6	−0.5
Jurriën Timber Defender	90	0	0	–	46.6	−3.2
Declan Rice Midfielder	90	0	1	–	44.5	−21.2
Eberechi Eze Midfielder	90	0	0	–	42.8	−9.8
Gabriel Martinelli Forward	90	0	0	0.29	42.1	−15.4
Noni Madueke Forward	69	0	0	–	40.2	−14.7
Leandro Trossard Forward	21	0	0	–	38.1	–
Viktor Gyökeres Forward	69	0	0	0.04	37.7	−12.2

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Enzo Fernández Midfielder	90	0.12	78.0	+19.0
Estêvão Midfielder	30	–	73.1	–
Wesley Fofana Defender	90	0.33	71.9	+9.1
Cole Palmer Midfielder	30	0.11	66.3	–
Marc Cucurella Defender	90	0.01	63.2	+11.5
Moisés Caicedo Midfielder	90	–	58.5	+3.6
Trevoh Chalobah Defender	90	0.05	57.8	+1.4
Josh Acheampong Defender	12	0.02	55.0	–
Liam Delap Forward	60	0.23	50.7	+2.4
Andrey Santos Midfielder	75	–	50.2	−0.3
Alejandro Garnacho Forward	15	–	47.9	–
Robert Sánchez Goalkeeper	90	–	47.1	−5.2
Jorrel Hato Defender	60	0.04	46.8	−2.9
Malo Gusto Defender	87	–	46.4	−5.4
João Pedro Forward	90	0.02	43.9	−15.0