EFL Cup 25/26, Semifinals · 14 Jan 2026

Chelsea 2–3 Arsenal

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot saw it as open: Chelsea 39%, the draw 25%, Arsenal 36%.

Arsenal won and made the better chances: 2.8 xG to 0.7.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Declan Rice, 87.9 in 82′.

Well above their usual level: Declan Rice +27.1, Viktor Gyökeres +18.7, Martín Zubimendi +12.0.

Each side's last five results before this match.

10 Jan 2026	W 5–1	at Charlton Athletic FA Cup
7 Jan 2026	L 1–2	at Fulham Premier League
4 Jan 2026	D 1–1	at Manchester City Premier League
30 Dec 2025	D 2–2	v Bournemouth Premier League
27 Dec 2025	L 1–2	v Aston Villa Premier League

11 Jan 2026	W 4–1	at Portsmouth FA Cup
8 Jan 2026	D 0–0	v Liverpool FC Premier League
3 Jan 2026	W 3–2	at Bournemouth Premier League
30 Dec 2025	W 4–1	v Aston Villa Premier League
27 Dec 2025	W 2–1	v Brighton & Hove Albion Premier League

30 Nov 2025	Chelsea 1–1 Arsenal Premier League

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Alejandro Garnacho Forward	37	2	0	0.21	100.0	–
Tosin Adarabioyo Defender	9	0	0	–	80.8	–
Estêvão Midfielder	90	0	0	0.19	69.1	+8.7
Trevoh Chalobah Defender	90	0	0	–	64.8	+7.8
Wesley Fofana Defender	75	0	0	–	60.2	−5.3
Pedro Neto Midfielder	90	0	1	0.10	58.1	+2.4
Enzo Fernández Midfielder	90	0	0	0.03	56.1	−1.8
Jorrel Hato Defender	15	0	0	–	50.6	–
João Pedro Forward	81	0	0	0.17	48.5	−7.3
Andrey Santos Midfielder	90	0	0	–	48.0	−4.1
Josh Acheampong Defender	53	0	0	–	46.6	−8.2
Robert Sánchez Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	44.1	−7.0
Marc Cucurella Defender	81	0	0	–	42.7	−8.5
Shumaira Mheuka Forward	9	0	0	–	40.3	–
Marc Guiu Forward	53	0	0	–	40.2	−8.6
Benoît Badiashile Defender	37	0	0	–	40.2	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Declan Rice Midfielder	82	0	1	0.06	87.9	+27.1
Mikel Merino Midfielder	22	0	0	0.26	83.2	–
Kai Havertz Forward	8	0	0	0.18	79.8	–
Gabriel Martinelli Forward	23	0	0	0.09	68.8	–
Martín Zubimendi Midfielder	90	1	0	0.29	66.4	+12.0
Viktor Gyökeres Forward	82	1	1	0.90	64.9	+18.7
Gabriel Magalhães Defender	90	0	0	0.24	56.0	+5.3
Bukayo Saka Forward	90	0	0	0.18	54.3	−5.6
Gabriel Jesus Forward	8	0	0	–	54.0	–
Leandro Trossard Forward	67	0	0	0.24	51.4	−2.2
William Saliba Defender	90	0	0	0.03	50.1	−1.7
Ben White Defender	90	1	0	0.23	49.8	−0.5
Jurriën Timber Defender	90	0	0	–	45.8	−11.5
Martin Ødegaard Midfielder	68	0	0	0.05	45.7	−9.1
Kepa Arrizabalaga Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	43.9	−10.4