FA Cup 25/26, Round 3 · 11 Jan 2026

Portsmouth 1–4 Arsenal

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Arsenal favourites at 80%.

Arsenal won and made the better chances: 3.1 xG to 1.9.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Gabriel Martinelli, 76.4 in 82′.

Well above their usual level: Adrian Segečić +39.9, Terry Devlin +33.3, Gabriel Martinelli +24.4.

Well below it: Gabriel Magalhães −23.3, Ethan Nwaneri −14.8, Josef Bursik −14.1.

Each side's last five results before this match.

1 Jan 2026	L 0–5	at Bristol City Championship
29 Dec 2025	W 2–1	v Charlton Athletic Championship
26 Dec 2025	D 1–1	v Queens Park Rangers Championship
20 Dec 2025	D 1–1	at Derby County Championship
13 Dec 2025	W 2–1	v Blackburn Rovers Championship

8 Jan 2026	D 0–0	v Liverpool FC Premier League
3 Jan 2026	W 3–2	at Bournemouth Premier League
30 Dec 2025	W 4–1	v Aston Villa Premier League
27 Dec 2025	W 2–1	v Brighton & Hove Albion Premier League
23 Dec 2025	D 1–1	v Crystal Palace EFL Cup

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Adrian Segečić Midfielder	73	0	0.05	74.1	+39.9
Terry Devlin Defender	90	0	0.04	68.9	+33.3
John Swift Midfielder	17	0	0.03	65.6	–
Conor Shaughnessy Defender	62	0	0.06	64.5	+21.5
Harvey Blair Forward	40	0	0.04	63.1	–
Colby Bishop Forward	90	1	0.49	58.9	+20.6
Zak Swanson Defender	73	0	0.11	57.2	+17.1
Jordan Lee Williams Defender	17	0	–	55.7	–
Conor Chaplin Midfielder	90	0	0.20	54.5	+20.1
Regan Poole Defender	90	0	–	53.4	+12.7
Andre Dozzell Midfielder	90	0	0.84	49.4	+9.4
Marlon Pack Midfielder	28	0	–	47.7	–
Luke Le Roux Midfielder	62	0	–	43.0	+1.9
Connor Ogilvie Defender	28	0	–	41.9	–
Franco Umeh Forward	43	0	–	39.4	–
Josef Bursik Goalkeeper	90	0	–	34.5	−14.1

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Martin Ødegaard Midfielder	21	0	0	–	82.6	–
Gabriel Martinelli Forward	82	3	0	1.44	76.4	+24.4
Kepa Arrizabalaga Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	57.8	+4.7
Noni Madueke Forward	90	0	2	0.92	54.0	−0.9
Marli Salmon Defender	14	0	0	–	53.9	–
Kai Havertz Forward	21	0	0	0.31	53.2	–
Jurriën Timber Defender	21	0	0	–	51.3	–
Mikel Merino Midfielder	90	0	0	–	48.4	−1.1
Martín Zubimendi Midfielder	8	0	0	0.04	46.5	–
Ben White Defender	69	0	0	–	45.9	−5.0
Gabriel Jesus Forward	69	0	1	–	43.6	–
Christian Nørgaard Midfielder	90	0	0	–	42.6	−3.4
Eberechi Eze Midfielder	90	0	0	0.31	42.6	−8.4
Ethan Nwaneri Midfielder	69	0	0	0.05	33.5	−14.8
Myles Lewis-Skelly Defender	90	0	0	–	33.3	−13.7
Gabriel Magalhães Defender	76	0	0	–	30.5	−23.3