Premier League 25/26 · 27 Dec 2025

Chelsea 1–2 Aston Villa

Picked for matchday: Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 15% · Standout: Ollie Watkins scored 100.0

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Nov 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Chelsea favourites at 64%.

Aston Villa won although Chelsea made the better chances (2.1 xG to 1.0): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Reece James, 71.5 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Reece James +11.6, João Pedro +10.0.

Well below it: Pedro Neto −17.7, Cole Palmer −16.4, Matty Cash −16.2.

Each side's last five results before this match.

20 Dec 2025	D 2–2	at Newcastle United Premier League
13 Dec 2025	W 2–0	v Everton Premier League
9 Dec 2025	L 1–2	at Atalanta Champions League
6 Dec 2025	D 0–0	at Bournemouth Premier League
3 Dec 2025	L 1–3	at Leeds United Premier League

21 Dec 2025	W 2–1	v Manchester United Premier League
14 Dec 2025	W 3–2	at West Ham United Premier League
11 Dec 2025	W 2–1	at Basel Europa League
6 Dec 2025	W 2–1	v Arsenal Premier League
3 Dec 2025	W 4–3	at Brighton & Hove Albion Premier League

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Reece James Defender	90	0	1	0.11	71.5	+11.6
João Pedro Forward	69	1	0	1.39	69.1	+10.0
Marc Cucurella Defender	69	0	0	–	56.2	+3.7
Jamie Gittens Midfielder	21	0	0	0.06	55.4	–
Malo Gusto Defender	21	0	0	–	55.2	–
Robert Sánchez Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	54.2	+3.3
Benoît Badiashile Defender	90	0	0	–	52.5	−5.1
Moisés Caicedo Midfielder	90	0	0	0.06	52.5	−3.5
Enzo Fernández Midfielder	90	0	0	0.26	52.0	−3.3
Trevoh Chalobah Defender	90	0	0	–	50.2	−6.2
Alejandro Garnacho Forward	69	0	0	0.02	47.5	−8.1
Cole Palmer Midfielder	72	0	0	0.21	43.7	−16.4
Estêvão Midfielder	18	0	0	–	43.6	–
Pedro Neto Midfielder	90	0	0	0.02	42.1	−17.7
Liam Delap Forward	21	0	0	–	38.6	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Ollie Watkins Forward	32	2	0	0.54	100.0	–
Youri Tielemans Midfielder	90	0	1	–	63.4	+4.9
Morgan Rogers Midfielder	90	0	0	0.05	56.0	+2.3
Jadon Sancho Midfielder	31	0	0	0.04	52.5	–
Emiliano Martínez Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	50.3	−4.2
Emiliano Buendía Midfielder	58	0	0	0.02	49.4	−4.9
Amadou Onana Midfielder	31	0	0	–	48.2	–
Ian Maatsen Defender	83	0	0	0.12	44.3	−11.1
Ezri Konsa Defender	90	0	0	–	43.9	−3.4
Victor Lindelöf Defender	90	0	0	–	42.5	−3.6
Boubacar Kamara Midfielder	83	0	0	0.18	42.0	−10.3
John McGinn Midfielder	59	0	0	–	38.7	−14.1
Donyell Malen Forward	59	0	0	–	38.5	−12.9
Lucas Digne Defender	13	0	0	0.10	38.3	–
Lamare Bogarde Midfielder	13	0	0	–	37.6	–
Matty Cash Defender	90	0	0	–	34.8	−16.2