FA Cup 25/26, Round 3 · 10 Jan 2026

Charlton Athletic 1–5 Chelsea

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Chelsea favourites at 69%.

Chelsea won and made the better chances: 4.0 xG to 1.5.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Tosin Adarabioyo, 66.6 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: James Bree +24.0, Miles Leaburn +19.9, Tyreece Campbell +11.2.

Well below it: Alejandro Garnacho −17.2, Jamie Gittens −16.4.

Each side's last five results before this match.

4 Jan 2026	D 2–2	at Blackburn Rovers Championship
1 Jan 2026	D 1–1	v Coventry City Championship
29 Dec 2025	L 1–2	at Portsmouth Championship
26 Dec 2025	L 0–1	at Norwich City Championship
20 Dec 2025	W 1–0	v Oxford United Championship

7 Jan 2026	L 1–2	at Fulham Premier League
4 Jan 2026	D 1–1	at Manchester City Premier League
30 Dec 2025	D 2–2	v Bournemouth Premier League
27 Dec 2025	L 1–2	v Aston Villa Premier League
20 Dec 2025	D 2–2	at Newcastle United Premier League

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Miles Leaburn Forward	90	1	0.35	59.1	+19.9
James Bree Defender	90	0	0.06	56.9	+24.0
Tyreece Campbell Forward	82	0	0.05	51.2	+11.2
Karoy Anderson Midfielder	24	0	–	51.0	–
Lloyd Jones Defender	90	0	0.65	49.2	+4.3
William Mannion Goalkeeper	90	0	–	49.1	–
Macauley Gillesphey Defender	24	0	0.04	48.0	–
Greg Docherty Midfielder	67	0	0.13	44.5	+8.3
Amari'i Bell Defender	74	0	–	42.3	+8.6
Harvey Knibbs Midfielder	8	0	–	40.9	–
Joe Rankin-Costello Midfielder	23	0	–	40.3	–
Charlie Kelman Forward	66	0	0.09	38.6	−2.9
Sonny Carey Midfielder	90	0	0.12	37.2	+0.1
Keenan Gough Defender	90	0	–	35.9	–
Conor Coventry Midfielder	66	0	–	35.4	−0.0
Tanto Olaofe Forward	16	0	–	33.8	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Enzo Fernández Midfielder	21	1	1	0.97	100.0	–
Pedro Neto Midfielder	9	1	0	0.08	100.0	–
Estêvão Midfielder	24	0	0	0.24	73.7	–
Tosin Adarabioyo Defender	90	1	0	0.18	66.6	+10.2
Moisés Caicedo Midfielder	90	0	0	0.17	61.3	+0.1
Marc Guiu Forward	69	1	1	1.13	55.6	+8.1
Benoît Badiashile Defender	90	0	0	–	54.5	+1.4
Josh Acheampong Defender	90	0	0	0.02	53.0	−2.5
Andrey Santos Midfielder	90	0	0	0.13	52.0	+0.4
Facundo Buonanotte Midfielder	69	0	1	0.40	51.8	+1.9
Jorrel Hato Defender	85	1	0	0.17	50.5	+0.1
Filip Jørgensen Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	49.6	+4.5
Wesley Fofana Defender	9	0	0	–	49.4	–
Jamie Gittens Midfielder	66	0	0	0.18	40.4	−16.4
Alejandro Garnacho Forward	85	0	0	0.12	39.2	−17.2
Liam Delap Forward	21	0	0	0.26	39.1	–