Matchday

Premier League 25/26 · 4 Mar 2026

Newcastle United 2–1 Manchester United

Picked for matchday: Two strong sides · Chances everywhere: 4.0 xG · Standout: William Osula scored 100.0

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Feb 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.7 – 1.1
Actual xG
2.5 – 1.5
Goals
2 – 1

Footybot made Newcastle United favourites at 52%.

Newcastle United won and made the better chances: 2.5 xG to 1.5.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Bruno Fernandes, 95.6 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Bruno Fernandes +27.2, Anthony Gordon +13.4, Kieran Trippier +11.0.

Well below it: Jacob Ramsey −27.1, Joe Willock −8.7, Bryan Mbeumo −8.2.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Newcastle United

28 Feb 2026L 2–3v Everton Premier League
24 Feb 2026W 3–2v Qarabağ FK Champions League
21 Feb 2026L 1–2at Manchester City Premier League
18 Feb 2026W 6–1at Qarabağ FK Champions League
10 Feb 2026W 2–1at Tottenham Hotspur Premier League

Manchester United

1 Mar 2026W 2–1v Crystal Palace Premier League
23 Feb 2026W 1–0at Everton Premier League
10 Feb 2026D 1–1at West Ham United Premier League
7 Feb 2026W 2–0v Tottenham Hotspur Premier League
1 Feb 2026W 3–2v Fulham Premier League

Head to head

26 Dec 2025Manchester United 1–0 Newcastle United Premier League

Newcastle United

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
William Osula Forward14100.05100.0–
Anthony Gordon Forward85101.3272.1+13.4
Kieran Trippier Defender9001–64.1+11.0
Sandro Tonali Midfielder89000.0263.1+9.7
Anthony Elanga Forward84000.0756.8+10.7
Malick Thiaw Defender90000.5955.8−2.6
Aaron Ramsdale Goalkeeper9000–55.3+7.5
Joelinton Midfielder90000.1254.5−4.2
Lewis Hall Defender90000.0650.0−5.4
Dan Burn Defender9000–47.0−5.9
Harvey Barnes Forward45000.2646.9+0.5
Joe Willock Midfielder4500–42.9−8.7
Jacob Murphy Midfielder1500–35.2–
Sven Botman Defender100–32.1–
Jacob Ramsey Midfielder4600–26.1−27.1

Manchester United

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Joshua Zirkzee Forward13000.0297.1–
Bruno Fernandes Midfielder90010.0395.6+27.2
Diogo Dalot Defender2900–72.1–
Casemiro Midfielder61100.0759.6+2.1
Matheus Cunha Forward90000.1859.3+8.5
Manuel Ugarte Midfielder29000.1958.8–
Noussair Mazraoui Defender85000.0657.5−1.6
Harry Maguire Defender9000–56.6+0.5
Leny Yoro Defender90000.2653.8+2.3
Luke Shaw Defender6100–52.8+0.6
Tyrell Malacia Defender1400–50.9–
Bryan Mbeumo Forward77000.3348.8−8.2
Amad Diallo Midfielder1400–46.7–
Kobbie Mainoo Midfielder76000.0344.5−7.4
Benjamin Šeško Forward90000.3244.4−6.7
Senne Lammens Goalkeeper9000–43.6−8.0