Newcastle United 2–1 Manchester United
Picked for matchday: Two strong sides · Chances everywhere: 4.0 xG · Standout: William Osula scored 100.0
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.7 – 1.1
- Actual xG
- 2.5 – 1.5
- Goals
- 2 – 1
Footybot made Newcastle United favourites at 52%.
Newcastle United won and made the better chances: 2.5 xG to 1.5.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Bruno Fernandes, 95.6 in 90′.
Well above their usual level: Bruno Fernandes +27.2, Anthony Gordon +13.4, Kieran Trippier +11.0.
Well below it: Jacob Ramsey −27.1, Joe Willock −8.7, Bryan Mbeumo −8.2.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Newcastle United
| 28 Feb 2026 | L 2–3 | v Everton |
| 24 Feb 2026 | W 3–2 | v Qarabağ FK |
| 21 Feb 2026 | L 1–2 | at Manchester City |
| 18 Feb 2026 | W 6–1 | at Qarabağ FK |
| 10 Feb 2026 | W 2–1 | at Tottenham Hotspur |
Manchester United
| 1 Mar 2026 | W 2–1 | v Crystal Palace |
| 23 Feb 2026 | W 1–0 | at Everton |
| 10 Feb 2026 | D 1–1 | at West Ham United |
| 7 Feb 2026 | W 2–0 | v Tottenham Hotspur |
| 1 Feb 2026 | W 3–2 | v Fulham |
Head to head
| 26 Dec 2025 | Manchester United 1–0 Newcastle United |
Newcastle United
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Osula | 14 | 100.0 | – |
| Anthony Gordon | 85 | 72.1 | +13.4 |
| Kieran Trippier | 90 | 64.1 | +11.0 |
| Sandro Tonali | 89 | 63.1 | +9.7 |
| Anthony Elanga | 84 | 56.8 | +10.7 |
| Malick Thiaw | 90 | 55.8 | −2.6 |
| Aaron Ramsdale | 90 | 55.3 | +7.5 |
| Joelinton | 90 | 54.5 | −4.2 |
| Lewis Hall | 90 | 50.0 | −5.4 |
| Dan Burn | 90 | 47.0 | −5.9 |
| Harvey Barnes | 45 | 46.9 | +0.5 |
| Joe Willock | 45 | 42.9 | −8.7 |
| Jacob Murphy | 15 | 35.2 | – |
| Sven Botman | 1 | 32.1 | – |
| Jacob Ramsey | 46 | 26.1 | −27.1 |
Manchester United
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Zirkzee | 13 | 97.1 | – |
| Bruno Fernandes | 90 | 95.6 | +27.2 |
| Diogo Dalot | 29 | 72.1 | – |
| Casemiro | 61 | 59.6 | +2.1 |
| Matheus Cunha | 90 | 59.3 | +8.5 |
| Manuel Ugarte | 29 | 58.8 | – |
| Noussair Mazraoui | 85 | 57.5 | −1.6 |
| Harry Maguire | 90 | 56.6 | +0.5 |
| Leny Yoro | 90 | 53.8 | +2.3 |
| Luke Shaw | 61 | 52.8 | +0.6 |
| Tyrell Malacia | 14 | 50.9 | – |
| Bryan Mbeumo | 77 | 48.8 | −8.2 |
| Amad Diallo | 14 | 46.7 | – |
| Kobbie Mainoo | 76 | 44.5 | −7.4 |
| Benjamin Šeško | 90 | 44.4 | −6.7 |
| Senne Lammens | 90 | 43.6 | −8.0 |