Premier League 25/26 · 4 May 2026

Chelsea 1–3 Nottingham Forest

Picked for matchday: Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 16% · Chances everywhere: 4.0 xG · Standout: Morgan Gibbs-White scored 100.0

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Apr 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Chelsea favourites at 63%.

Nottingham Forest won a close one on the chances: 2.1 xG to 1.9.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Igor Jesus, 85.8 in 45′.

Well above their usual level: Igor Jesus +35.2, Taiwo Awoniyi +28.3, Malo Gusto +18.8.

Well below it: Robert Sánchez −17.5, Morato −13.1, Liam Delap −8.5.

Each side's last five results before this match.

21 Apr 2026	L 0–3	at Brighton & Hove Albion Premier League
18 Apr 2026	L 0–1	v Manchester United Premier League
12 Apr 2026	L 0–3	v Manchester City Premier League
21 Mar 2026	L 0–3	at Everton Premier League
17 Mar 2026	L 0–3	v Paris Saint-Germain Champions League

30 Apr 2026	W 1–0	v Aston Villa Europa League
24 Apr 2026	W 5–0	at Sunderland Premier League
19 Apr 2026	W 4–1	v Burnley Premier League
16 Apr 2026	W 1–0	v FC Porto Europa League
12 Apr 2026	D 1–1	v Aston Villa Premier League

18 Oct 2025	Nottingham Forest 0–3 Chelsea Premier League

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Enzo Fernández Midfielder	90	0	0	0.15	70.3	+12.9
Malo Gusto Defender	90	0	0	0.12	69.1	+18.8
João Pedro Forward	90	1	0	0.29	55.9	−0.9
Tosin Adarabioyo Defender	45	0	0	–	55.7	−6.0
Andrey Santos Midfielder	32	0	0	0.03	54.0	–
Trevoh Chalobah Defender	90	0	0	0.10	53.9	−5.2
Moisés Caicedo Midfielder	90	0	0	–	53.1	+2.3
Marc Cucurella Defender	90	0	1	0.05	53.1	+0.4
Cole Palmer Midfielder	90	0	0	0.92	51.1	−1.5
Levi Colwill Defender	45	0	0	–	51.1	–
Roméo Lavia Midfielder	58	0	0	0.01	48.2	−3.5
Jesse Derry Midfielder	44	0	0	0.10	48.1	–
Filip Jørgensen Goalkeeper	24	0	0	–	45.7	–
Liam Delap Forward	46	0	0	0.17	40.5	−8.5
Robert Sánchez Goalkeeper	66	0	0	–	27.4	−17.5

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Morgan Gibbs-White Midfielder	21	0	1	–	100.0	–
Igor Jesus Forward	45	1	0	0.83	85.8	+35.2
Taiwo Awoniyi Forward	90	2	0	1.10	72.7	+28.3
Elliot Anderson Midfielder	45	0	0	–	61.6	+5.6
Dilane Bakwa Midfielder	80	0	1	–	60.5	+8.0
Matz Sels Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	53.9	+1.8
Nicolás Domínguez Midfielder	45	0	0	–	51.9	−0.9
Nikola Milenković Defender	45	0	0	–	51.0	+3.4
Luca Netz Defender	90	0	0	–	49.8	+9.2
Neco Williams Defender	46	0	0	–	48.1	−5.8
Chris Wood Forward	24	0	0	–	48.0	–
Jair Defender	45	0	0	–	47.7	+0.6
James McAtee Midfielder	90	0	0	0.14	46.0	−7.0
Omari Hutchinson Midfielder	10	0	0	–	45.5	–
Ryan Yates Midfielder	90	0	0	–	44.1	−4.2
Zach Abbott Defender	44	0	0	–	43.6	–
Morato Defender	90	0	0	–	38.6	−13.1