Newcastle United 3–1 Brighton & Hove Albion
Picked for matchday: Two strong sides · Chances everywhere: 4.9 xG · Standout: Jacob Ramsey scored 100.0
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.8 – 1.1
- Actual xG
- 3.3 – 1.6
- Goals
- 3 – 1
Footybot made Newcastle United favourites at 53%.
Newcastle United won and made the better chances: 3.3 xG to 1.6.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Jan Paul van Hecke, 79.7 in 90′.
Well above their usual level: William Osula +25.1, Jan Paul van Hecke +21.4, Jacob Murphy +14.5.
Well below it: Yankuba Minteh −17.3, Bruno Guimarães −14.6, Bart Verbruggen −13.9.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Newcastle United
| 25 Apr 2026 | L 0–1 | at Arsenal |
| 18 Apr 2026 | L 1–2 | v Bournemouth |
| 12 Apr 2026 | L 1–2 | at Crystal Palace |
| 22 Mar 2026 | L 1–2 | v Sunderland |
| 18 Mar 2026 | L 2–7 | at FC Barcelona |
Brighton & Hove Albion
| 21 Apr 2026 | W 3–0 | v Chelsea |
| 18 Apr 2026 | D 2–2 | at Tottenham Hotspur |
| 11 Apr 2026 | W 2–0 | at Burnley |
| 21 Mar 2026 | W 2–1 | v Liverpool FC |
| 14 Mar 2026 | W 1–0 | at Sunderland |
Head to head
| 18 Oct 2025 | Brighton & Hove Albion 2–1 Newcastle United |
Newcastle United
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Ramsey | 1 | 100.0 | – |
| Harvey Barnes | 22 | 95.9 | – |
| Lewis Hall | 22 | 77.6 | – |
| William Osula | 68 | 74.3 | +25.1 |
| Yoane Wissa | 22 | 65.8 | – |
| Jacob Murphy | 68 | 61.1 | +14.5 |
| Sven Botman | 90 | 60.6 | −3.8 |
| Malick Thiaw | 90 | 53.6 | −3.6 |
| Joelinton | 90 | 53.1 | +2.0 |
| Nick Pope | 90 | 52.5 | +6.2 |
| Dan Burn | 90 | 51.5 | −2.0 |
| Lewis Miley | 90 | 49.7 | −5.6 |
| Bruno Guimarães | 89 | 48.9 | −14.6 |
| Sandro Tonali | 90 | 46.4 | −5.1 |
| Joe Willock | 68 | 41.2 | −8.5 |
Brighton & Hove Albion
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Georginio Rutter | 10 | 100.0 | – |
| Maxim De Cuyper | 9 | 100.0 | – |
| Jan Paul van Hecke | 90 | 79.7 | +21.4 |
| Mats Wieffer | 18 | 76.4 | – |
| Charalampos Kostoulas | 10 | 61.6 | – |
| Olivier Boscagli | 90 | 60.5 | +1.6 |
| Carlos Baleba | 80 | 56.1 | +7.9 |
| Jack Hinshelwood | 88 | 53.6 | +5.1 |
| Pascal Groß | 90 | 51.7 | −11.3 |
| Danny Welbeck | 80 | 51.0 | −2.6 |
| Kaoru Mitoma | 90 | 48.7 | −3.8 |
| Ferdi Kadıoğlu | 90 | 45.9 | −1.4 |
| Yankuba Minteh | 90 | 44.1 | −17.3 |
| Bart Verbruggen | 90 | 42.4 | −13.9 |
| Joël Veltman | 63 | 37.3 | −13.8 |
| Lewis Dunk | 9 | 32.1 | – |