Premier League 25/26 · 13 Apr 2026

Manchester United 1–2 Leeds United

Picked for matchday: Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 17% · Chances everywhere: 3.7 xG · Standout: Ao Tanaka scored 100.0

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Mar 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Manchester United favourites at 62%.

Leeds United won and made the better chances: 2.4 xG to 1.3.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Ao Tanaka, 100.0 in 74′.

Well above their usual level: Ao Tanaka +51.1, Leny Yoro +26.2, Gabriel Gudmundsson +24.6.

Well below it: Lisandro Martínez −15.7, Amad Diallo −14.1, Jaka Bijol −12.4.

Each side's last five results before this match.

20 Mar 2026	D 2–2	at Bournemouth Premier League
15 Mar 2026	W 3–1	v Aston Villa Premier League
4 Mar 2026	L 1–2	at Newcastle United Premier League
1 Mar 2026	W 2–1	v Crystal Palace Premier League
23 Feb 2026	W 1–0	at Everton Premier League

21 Mar 2026	D 0–0	v Brentford Premier League
15 Mar 2026	D 0–0	at Crystal Palace Premier League
3 Mar 2026	L 0–1	v Sunderland Premier League
28 Feb 2026	L 0–1	v Manchester City Premier League
21 Feb 2026	D 1–1	at Aston Villa Premier League

4 Jan 2026	Leeds United 1–1 Manchester United Premier League

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Leny Yoro Defender	90	0	0	0.20	77.5	+26.2
Diogo Dalot Defender	20	0	0	0.02	75.7	–
Bryan Mbeumo Forward	20	0	0	0.07	71.8	–
Casemiro Midfielder	90	1	0	0.24	68.2	+13.6
Bruno Fernandes Midfielder	90	0	1	0.02	64.5	−5.1
Luke Shaw Defender	90	0	0	0.03	55.7	+4.8
Noussair Mazraoui Defender	70	0	0	0.02	48.9	−10.0
Matheus Cunha Forward	90	0	0	0.14	47.7	−2.8
Manuel Ugarte Midfielder	90	0	0	0.22	47.3	−2.4
Senne Lammens Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	44.8	−6.4
Benjamin Šeško Forward	90	0	0	0.31	43.6	−7.3
Amad Diallo Midfielder	70	0	0	0.05	40.9	−14.1
Lisandro Martínez Defender	56	0	0	–	39.4	−15.7

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Ao Tanaka Midfielder	74	0	0	0.42	100.0	+51.1
Ilia Gruev Midfielder	16	0	0	0.03	74.1	–
Wilfried Gnonto Forward	16	0	0	–	72.4	–
Jayden Bogle Midfielder	90	0	0	–	71.0	+22.8
Noah Okafor Forward	74	2	0	0.15	69.3	+17.8
Karl Darlow Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	66.3	+14.7
Gabriel Gudmundsson Midfielder	90	0	0	–	66.3	+24.6
Pascal Struijk Defender	90	0	0	0.23	65.9	+9.9
Dominic Calvert-Lewin Forward	90	0	0	1.31	61.8	+11.8
Ethan Ampadu Midfielder	90	0	0	0.08	55.4	+2.8
James Justin Defender	90	0	0	0.03	54.2	+4.0
Brenden Aaronson Forward	86	0	1	0.10	52.6	+6.7
Jaka Bijol Defender	90	0	0	0.04	44.8	−12.4
Sean Longstaff Midfielder	12	0	0	–	39.2	–