FOOTYBOT
Matchday

Premier League 25/26 · 3 Mar 2026

Leeds United 0–1 Sunderland

Picked for matchday: Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 16% · Standout: Jaka Bijol scored 100.0 · Breakout watch: Nilson Angulo

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Feb 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.9 – 0.8
Actual xG
1.2 – 0.9
Goals
0 – 1

Footybot made Leeds United favourites at 62%.

Sunderland won a close one on the chances: 0.9 xG to 1.2.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Omar Alderete, 65.6 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Omar Alderete +11.2, Melker Ellborg +10.7, Habib Diarra +10.3.

Well below it: Anton Stach −14.2, Pascal Struijk −12.7, Dominic Calvert-Lewin −12.5.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Leeds United

28 Feb 2026L 0–1v Manchester City Premier League
21 Feb 2026D 1–1at Aston Villa Premier League
10 Feb 2026D 2–2at Chelsea Premier League
6 Feb 2026W 3–1v Nottingham Forest Premier League
31 Jan 2026L 0–4v Arsenal Premier League

Sunderland

28 Feb 2026D 1–1at Bournemouth Premier League
22 Feb 2026L 1–3v Fulham Premier League
11 Feb 2026L 0–1v Liverpool FC Premier League
7 Feb 2026L 0–3at Arsenal Premier League
2 Feb 2026W 3–0v Burnley Premier League

Head to head

28 Dec 2025Sunderland 1–1 Leeds United Premier League

Leeds United

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Jaka Bijol Defender19000.23100.0–
Daniel James Midfielder1600–89.2–
Joël Piroe Forward19000.1665.3–
Anton Stach Midfielder90000.1656.4−14.2
Ethan Ampadu Midfielder90000.0553.1+1.8
Lukas Nmecha Forward2800–51.5–
James Justin Defender7400–50.1−1.1
Joe Rodon Defender9000–48.5+1.9
Karl Darlow Goalkeeper9000–46.5−2.5
Wilfried Gnonto Forward16000.0445.4–
Ilia Gruev Midfielder6200–45.3−6.0
Pascal Struijk Defender90000.0645.3−12.7
Dominic Calvert-Lewin Forward90000.0841.0−12.5
Brenden Aaronson Forward74000.1039.7−10.8
Jayden Bogle Midfielder84000.2238.4−11.8
Gabriel Gudmundsson Midfielder84000.0438.1−9.2

Sunderland

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Omar Alderete Defender9000–65.6+11.2
Bertrand Traoré Forward100–64.4–
Melker Ellborg Goalkeeper9000–63.3+10.7
Daniel Ballard Defender90000.0154.3−6.6
Habib Diarra Midfielder90100.7953.9+10.3
Enzo Le Fée Midfielder9000–50.3−3.5
Granit Xhaka Midfielder3500–49.6–
Nilson Angulo Midfielder8800–47.4+0.3
Trai Hume Defender9000–46.0+2.8
Chris Rigg Midfielder800–44.9–
Wilson Isidor Forward34000.0641.9–
Luke O'Nien Defender9000–39.6–
Noah Sadiki Midfielder9000–39.5−6.6
Eliezer Mayenda Forward5600–38.1−8.8
Lutsharel Geertruida Defender5500–37.6−9.2