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AFC Ajax
Tolu Arokodare

Tolu Arokodare

Forward · AFC Ajax · 25 · Nigeria

81 on the breakout watchlist Compare with others

Season score
54.1
Eredivisie 26/27, 8 matches
Last 5 weeks
50.2
average of weeks with 60+ minutes
Market value
€22.0M
+€2.0M (+10%) since 3 Jun 2026
Transfermarkt, 25 Sep 2026

Photo: Timmy96, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons

Born
23 Nov 2000
Height
196 cm
Foot
R
Contract until
30 Jun 2027
Wikipedia views
6,003 4 weeks

Wikipedia Wikidata Transfermarkt

Every week

1–7 Jul 2025 to 20–26 Oct 2026

17 of 69 weeks with 60+ minutes, averaging 49.8 (minutes-weighted); 0 of them 70 or better.

no matchunder 60′under 4545–5555–7070+

Every week as a table
WeekMatchesMinutesScoreExpectedUnderlying
20–26 Oct 202612495.451.285.2
13–19 Oct 2026210649.851.457.1
6–12 Oct 202617347.051.835.8
15–21 Sep 202612888.650.882.8
8–14 Sep 202617450.750.957.5
1–7 Sep 202616154.450.742.0
25–31 Aug 2026215050.250.746.2
18–24 Aug 202611760.850.759.5
11–17 Aug 202624147.650.948.6
4–10 Aug 202611757.850.958.5
19–25 May 202612448.850.955.8
12–18 May 202611843.751.143.9
5–11 May 20261970.651.084.7
28 Apr – 4 May 202618949.051.254.8
21–27 Apr 202611940.851.539.8
7–13 Apr 202611950.151.650.1
10–16 Mar 2026116100.050.9100.0
3–9 Mar 202613053.550.953.8
24 Feb – 2 Mar 20261960.050.860.9
17–23 Feb 2026215853.450.160.5
10–16 Feb 202619047.650.748.5
3–9 Feb 202619056.450.252.3
27 Jan – 2 Feb 202619048.050.453.6
20–26 Jan 202611959.050.363.9
13–19 Jan 202616544.750.744.5
6–12 Jan 202619051.050.752.6
30 Dec 2025 – 5 Jan 2026215349.951.051.5
23–29 Dec 202519052.550.856.0
16–22 Dec 20251944.650.950.7
9–15 Dec 2025121100.049.572.4
2–8 Dec 202523044.049.744.4
25 Nov – 1 Dec 202511244.049.843.4
18–24 Nov 202516647.250.146.9
28 Oct – 3 Nov 202512654.249.957.2
21–27 Oct 202511338.950.137.8
14–20 Oct 202511464.749.873.9
30 Sep – 6 Oct 20251123.549.820.9
23–29 Sep 202511332.450.130.7
16–22 Sep 202519045.250.946.8
9–15 Sep 202516645.051.744.4
12–18 Aug 202511954.351.754.6
5–11 Aug 202512390.950.158.9
29 Jul – 4 Aug 202511850.750.156.2
22–28 Jul 202512053.650.057.3

Against expectation

How it's expected

Each week's score beside what the player's earlier matches led to expect. Over the last 10 weeks with 60+ minutes: level with expectation (−0.0 a week).

40.045.050.055.060.09 Sep23 Dec13 Jan10 Feb25 Aug6 OctExpected 51.4Score 49.8
81

On the breakout watchlist

A 33% chance of breaking out within a year, on how players like them went before. Underlying 53.5 over 1,846 minutes in the last year, down 1.5 over the last 10 weeks. Valued €22.0M against €14.6M expected. See the list

Market value

Where these come from
Transfermarkt €22.0M +€2.0M (+10%) since 3 Jun 2026 25 Sep 2026 · its own valuation, revised a few times a year
Current estimate €20.0M no change recorded 22 Oct 2026 · BSD, seen when squads refresh
Next summer, if it goes like similar cases €15.9M–€27.7M −3% median of 40 similar past cases; players the same age +0% Closest cases, what their Transfermarkt value then did in a year: Toti Gomes at 25 (€20.0M, scoring 54.4) +25%; Jacob Greaves at 25 (€18.0M, scoring 54.3) −6%; Edon Zhegrova at 26 (€25.0M, scoring 51.8) −44%.
0€10M€20M€30M2020202120222023202420252026€22.0M€20.0M
Every value as a table
DateSourceValue
22 Oct 2026Current estimate (BSD)€20.0M
25 Sep 2026Transfermarkt€22.0M
3 Jun 2026Transfermarkt€20.0M
9 Dec 2025Transfermarkt€22.0M
17 Oct 2025Transfermarkt€25.0M
12 Jun 2025Transfermarkt€18.0M
26 Mar 2025Transfermarkt€13.0M
11 Dec 2024Transfermarkt€9.0M
2 Oct 2024Transfermarkt€6.5M
4 Jun 2024Transfermarkt€5.5M
19 Dec 2023Transfermarkt€4.0M
23 Oct 2023Transfermarkt€4.0M
9 Jun 2023Transfermarkt€3.0M
22 Mar 2023Transfermarkt€3.5M
28 Oct 2022Transfermarkt€2.2M
2 Jun 2022Transfermarkt€1.5M
27 Dec 2021Transfermarkt€1.0M
9 Jun 2021Transfermarkt€800k
10 Feb 2021Transfermarkt€1.2M
26 Nov 2020Transfermarkt€1.2M
24 Jul 2020Transfermarkt€225k
26 Jan 2020Transfermarkt€100k

Two different estimates, so each is its own line and each change is measured within its own line.

Moves

All transfers
DateMoveFee
29 Jul 2026Wolves AjaxLoan
13 Sep 2025KRC Genk WolverhamptonFirst match
1 Sep 2025Genk Wolves€26.0M
31 Jan 2023Amiens SC Genk€5.0M
30 Jan 2023Valmiera Amiens SC€2.5M
29 Jan 2023Amiens SC ValmieraBack from loan
1 Jul 2021Valmiera Amiens SCLoan

What the score is made of

Eredivisie 26/27: each part per 90 minutes against the average forward in the top five leagues (0), in standard deviations.

  • Shooting +0.06
  • Creating −0.20
  • Progressing −0.37
  • Keeping the ball −0.44
  • Defending +0.74
  • Aerial +1.53
  • Finishing +0.87

Attention

English Wikipedia views per week, the article and its redirects, last 52 weeks.

010K20K30K28 Oct16 Dec3 Feb24 Mar12 May30 Jun18 Aug6 Oct

Plays most like

same position, last 12 months: the shape of their play, not its level
PlayerRecent scoreValue nowLikeness
Beto Fiorentina · 28––92%Compare
Igor Matanović SC Freiburg · 2353.9€30.0M91%Compare
Toni Martínez Deportivo Alavés · 29 · cheaper47.1€7.5M88%Compare
Federico Viñas CD Toluca · 28––86%Compare
Álvaro Rodriguez Bournemouth · 2251.5€20.0M85%Compare
Ragnar Ache 1. FC Köln · 28––85%Compare

Recent score: the last six months. Cheaper: valued at less than 60% of Tolu Arokodare.

Seasons

SeasonCompetitionTeamMatchesMinutesScoreUnderlying
Eredivisie 26/27EredivisieAFC Ajax836754.150.1
UEFA Conference League 26/27Conference LeagueAFC Ajax522454.555.4
Premier League 25/26Premier LeagueWolverhampton331,43951.653.2
Pro League 25/26Pro LeagueKRC Genk48063.856.9

Latest matches

50 since July 2025
DateCompetitionOpponentResultMinGoalsAssistsxGxAScore
22 Oct 2026Conference LeagueAtalantaW 2–024110.610.0195.4
18 Oct 2026Eredivisieat FC GroningenW 5–216000.370.0154.2
15 Oct 2026Conference Leagueat HNK Hajduk SplitL 1–290000.500.2449.0
10 Oct 2026EredivisieNEC NijmegenD 1–173100.130.0447.0
19 Sep 2026EredivisieExcelsiorD 2–228100.710.0288.6
12 Sep 2026Eredivisieat Fortuna SittardW 5–174000.550.3950.7
5 Sep 2026EredivisiePSV EindhovenL 1–361100.140.0254.4
30 Aug 2026Eredivisieat SC TelstarW 4–090100.290.0152.2
27 Aug 2026Conference LeagueFC SionW 5–36020––47.3
20 Aug 2026Conference Leagueat FC SionW 4–21711––60.8
All 50 matches
DateCompetitionOpponentResultMinGoalsAssistsxGxAScore
22 Oct 2026Conference LeagueAtalantaW 2–024110.610.0195.4
18 Oct 2026Eredivisieat FC GroningenW 5–216000.370.0154.2
15 Oct 2026Conference Leagueat HNK Hajduk SplitL 1–290000.500.2449.0
10 Oct 2026EredivisieNEC NijmegenD 1–173100.130.0447.0
19 Sep 2026EredivisieExcelsiorD 2–228100.710.0288.6
12 Sep 2026Eredivisieat Fortuna SittardW 5–174000.550.3950.7
5 Sep 2026EredivisiePSV EindhovenL 1–361100.140.0254.4
30 Aug 2026Eredivisieat SC TelstarW 4–090100.290.0152.2
27 Aug 2026Conference LeagueFC SionW 5–36020––47.3
20 Aug 2026Conference Leagueat FC SionW 4–21711––60.8
16 Aug 2026EredivisieSC HeerenveenD 2–28000.05–39.5
13 Aug 2026Conference Leagueat ShelbourneD 2–23300––49.6
9 Aug 2026Eredivisieat PEC ZwolleW 2–01701–0.1257.8
24 May 2026Premier Leagueat BurnleyD 1–124000.190.0048.8
17 May 2026Premier LeagueFulhamD 1–118000.02–43.7
9 May 2026Premier Leagueat Brighton & Hove AlbionL 0–39000.120.0170.6
2 May 2026Premier LeagueSunderlandD 1–189000.590.0249.0
25 Apr 2026Premier LeagueTottenham HotspurL 0–11900–0.0040.8
10 Apr 2026Premier Leagueat West Ham UnitedL 0–41900–0.0050.1
16 Mar 2026Premier Leagueat BrentfordD 2–216100.590.02100.0
3 Mar 2026Premier LeagueLiverpool FCW 2–13001–0.0153.5
27 Feb 2026Premier LeagueAston VillaW 2–0900–0.0160.0
22 Feb 2026Premier Leagueat Crystal PalaceL 0–190001.170.0162.2
18 Feb 2026Premier LeagueArsenalD 2–268000.020.0041.8
11 Feb 2026Premier Leagueat Nottingham ForestD 0–090000.120.0147.6
7 Feb 2026Premier LeagueChelseaL 1–390100.540.0056.4
31 Jan 2026Premier LeagueBournemouthL 0–290000.580.0448.0
24 Jan 2026Premier Leagueat Manchester CityL 0–219000.080.0359.0
18 Jan 2026Premier LeagueNewcastle UnitedD 0–065000.030.0044.7
7 Jan 2026Premier Leagueat EvertonD 1–190000.160.0551.0
3 Jan 2026Premier LeagueWest Ham UnitedW 3–088000.140.0048.5
30 Dec 2025Premier Leagueat Manchester UnitedD 1–165000.140.0751.8
27 Dec 2025Premier Leagueat Liverpool FCL 1–290000.330.0252.5
20 Dec 2025Premier LeagueBrentfordL 0–29000.070.0044.6
13 Dec 2025Premier Leagueat ArsenalL 1–221100.090.00100.0
8 Dec 2025Premier LeagueManchester UnitedL 1–42100–0.0144.1
3 Dec 2025Premier LeagueNottingham ForestL 0–19000.030.0243.8
30 Nov 2025Premier Leagueat Aston VillaL 0–11200––44.0
22 Nov 2025Premier LeagueCrystal PalaceL 0–266000.010.0047.2
1 Nov 2025Premier Leagueat FulhamL 0–326000.070.0054.2
26 Oct 2025Premier LeagueBurnleyL 2–31300––38.9
18 Oct 2025Premier Leagueat SunderlandL 0–214000.120.0064.7
5 Oct 2025Premier LeagueBrighton & Hove AlbionD 1–1100––23.5
27 Sep 2025Premier Leagueat Tottenham HotspurD 1–11300–0.0032.4
20 Sep 2025Premier LeagueLeeds UnitedL 1–390000.220.0345.2
13 Sep 2025Premier Leagueat Newcastle UnitedL 0–16600–0.0045.0
15 Aug 2025Pro Leagueat Oud-Heverlee LeuvenW 2–11900–0.0154.3
10 Aug 2025Pro Leagueat Standard LiègeL 1–223100.090.0790.9
3 Aug 2025Pro LeagueRoyal Antwerp FCD 1–118000.110.0050.7
27 Jul 2025Pro Leagueat Club Brugge KVL 1–220000.080.0053.6