Toni Martínez

Forward · Deportivo Alavés · 29 · Spain

301 on the breakout watchlist Compare with others

Season score: 45.0; LaLiga 26/27, 9 matches
Last 5 weeks: 45.9; average of weeks with 60+ minutes
Market value: €7.5M; +€3.5M (+88%) since 16 Mar 2026; Transfermarkt, 5 Jun 2026

Photo: Tam Tam from Shizuoka, JAPAN, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons

Born: 30 Jun 1997
Height: 180 cm
Foot: R
Contract until: 30 Jun 2028
Wikipedia views: 791 4 weeks

Wikipedia Wikidata Transfermarkt

Every week

1–7 Jul 2025 to 20–26 Oct 2026

32 of 69 weeks with 60+ minutes, averaging 50.7 (minutes-weighted); 1 of them 70 or better.

Form bars show the weekly score: no matchunder 60′under 4545–5555–7070+

Every week as a table

Week	Matches	Minutes	Score	Expected	Underlying
20–26 Oct 2026	1	24	46.4	49.6	59.8
13–19 Oct 2026	1	62	43.5	49.9	44.4
6–12 Oct 2026	1	64	43.7	50.2	43.3
15–21 Sep 2026	2	92	41.4	50.7	42.3
8–14 Sep 2026	1	23	50.3	50.9	52.3
25–31 Aug 2026	1	54	36.0	51.5	34.7
18–24 Aug 2026	1	90	54.7	51.3	67.1
11–17 Aug 2026	1	90	44.8	51.8	46.6
19–25 May 2026	1	90	50.2	52.0	45.9
12–18 May 2026	2	172	47.5	52.3	47.8
5–11 May 2026	1	67	61.3	52.3	59.7
28 Apr – 4 May 2026	1	90	44.6	52.9	44.5
21–27 Apr 2026	2	171	69.4	51.4	62.5
7–13 Apr 2026	1	90	47.0	51.2	48.9
31 Mar – 6 Apr 2026	1	90	52.9	51.1	48.5
17–23 Mar 2026	1	89	74.8	49.5	63.3
10–16 Mar 2026	1	89	48.4	49.5	48.9
3–9 Mar 2026	1	84	41.4	50.1	40.5
24 Feb – 2 Mar 2026	1	63	48.3	50.1	51.0
17–23 Feb 2026	1	90	40.7	50.9	42.9
10–16 Feb 2026	1	90	58.7	50.3	53.3
3–9 Feb 2026	1	59	51.2	50.3	59.1
27 Jan – 2 Feb 2026	1	74	60.9	49.6	63.5
20–26 Jan 2026	1	72	63.3	48.7	57.2
13–19 Jan 2026	1	55	43.6	48.9	43.2
6–12 Jan 2026	1	90	55.9	48.3	51.5
30 Dec 2025 – 5 Jan 2026	1	89	41.9	48.8	45.3
16–22 Dec 2025	1	90	44.4	49.1	48.0
9–15 Dec 2025	1	23	65.8	48.7	85.9
25 Nov – 1 Dec 2025	1	10	47.2	48.7	46.9
18–24 Nov 2025	1	89	40.6	49.3	41.2
4–10 Nov 2025	1	90	43.7	49.7	44.7
28 Oct – 3 Nov 2025	1	61	46.0	49.9	45.6
21–27 Oct 2025	1	84	46.9	50.1	51.4
14–20 Oct 2025	1	71	47.0	50.4	48.5
30 Sep – 6 Oct 2025	1	85	51.3	50.3	43.4
23–29 Sep 2025	2	103	47.8	50.6	48.8
16–22 Sep 2025	1	32	49.8	50.7	50.5
9–15 Sep 2025	1	45	49.4	50.7	49.7
26 Aug – 1 Sep 2025	1	80	44.7	51.3	44.5
19–25 Aug 2025	1	58	44.3	51.8	43.7
12–18 Aug 2025	1	90	60.4	51.0	57.0

Against expectation

How it's expected

Each week's score beside what the player's earlier matches led to expect. Over the last 10 weeks with 60+ minutes: level with expectation (−0.0 a week).

301

On the breakout watchlist

A 18% chance of breaking out within a year, on how players like them went before. Underlying 50.4 over 2,660 minutes in the last year, down 2.0 over the last 10 weeks. Wikipedia views 1.8× below similar performers. Valued €7.5M against €6.8M expected. See the list

Market value

Where these come from

Transfermarkt €7.5M +€3.5M (+88%) since 16 Mar 2026 5 Jun 2026 · its own valuation, revised a few times a year

Current estimate €7.3M no change recorded 22 Oct 2026 · BSD, seen when squads refresh

Next summer, if it goes like similar cases €3.0M–€6.1M −44% median of 40 similar past cases; players the same age −29% Closest cases, what their Transfermarkt value then did in a year: Eric Smith at 28 (€6.0M, scoring 46.6) −50%; Antonio Sanabria at 28 (€7.0M, scoring 46.2) −64%; M'bala Nzola at 28 (€8.0M, scoring 46.0) −50%.

Every value as a table

Date	Source	Value
22 Oct 2026	Current estimate (BSD)	€7.3M
5 Jun 2026	Transfermarkt	€7.5M
16 Mar 2026	Transfermarkt	€4.0M
12 Dec 2025	Transfermarkt	€3.5M
2 Oct 2025	Transfermarkt	€3.0M
9 Jun 2025	Transfermarkt	€2.5M
21 Mar 2025	Transfermarkt	€2.8M
27 Dec 2024	Transfermarkt	€4.0M
6 Jun 2024	Transfermarkt	€5.0M
27 Dec 2023	Transfermarkt	€6.0M
16 Jun 2023	Transfermarkt	€7.0M
1 Nov 2022	Transfermarkt	€7.0M
16 Sep 2022	Transfermarkt	€7.0M
31 May 2022	Transfermarkt	€5.0M
27 Dec 2021	Transfermarkt	€5.0M
21 May 2021	Transfermarkt	€6.0M
25 Mar 2021	Transfermarkt	€4.0M
28 Jan 2021	Transfermarkt	€6.0M
17 Aug 2020	Transfermarkt	€7.0M
8 Apr 2020	Transfermarkt	€1.6M
30 Dec 2019	Transfermarkt	€2.0M
29 Jun 2019	Transfermarkt	€1.2M
19 Feb 2019	Transfermarkt	€1.5M
30 May 2018	Transfermarkt	€1.5M
2 Mar 2018	Transfermarkt	€1.5M
21 Apr 2017	Transfermarkt	€1.5M
1 Aug 2016	Transfermarkt	€1.5M

Two different estimates, so each is its own line and each change is measured within its own line.

Moves

All transfers

Date	Move	Fee
27 Aug 2024	Porto Alavés	€2.0M

What the score is made of

LaLiga 26/27: each part per 90 minutes against the average forward in the top five leagues (0), in standard deviations.

Shooting +0.07
Creating −0.30
Progressing −0.66
Keeping the ball −0.30
Defending +0.01
Aerial +1.77
Finishing −0.76

Attention

English Wikipedia views per week, the article and its redirects, last 52 weeks.

Plays most like

same position, last 12 months: the shape of their play, not its level

Player	Recent score	Value now	Likeness
Kike García Espanyol · 36	–	–	95%Compare
Ragnar Ache 1. FC Köln · 28	–	–	95%Compare
Emersonn Ipswich Town · 22	52.6	€25.0M	94%Compare
Rafiu Durosinmi KRC Genk · 23	50.2	€10.0M	92%Compare
Luka Kulenović ETO FC Győr · 27	–	–	92%Compare
Thierno Barry Everton · 24	54.1	€35.0M	92%Compare

Recent score: the last six months. Cheaper: valued at less than 60% of Toni Martínez.

Seasons

Season	Competition	Team	Matches	Minutes	Score	Underlying
LaLiga 26/27	LaLiga	Deportivo Alavés	9	499	45.0	48.4
LaLiga 25/26	LaLiga	Deportivo Alavés	37	2,725	51.2	50.3
LaLiga 24/25	LaLiga	Deportivo Alavés	28	1,013	53.9	54.1
Liga Portugal 24/25	Liga Portugal	FC Porto	1	9	42.8	42.1
Liga Portugal 23/24	Liga Portugal	FC Porto	20	532	64.4	63.4

Latest matches

46 since July 2025

Date	Competition	Opponent	Result	Min	Goals	xG	xA	Score
23 Oct 2026	LaLiga	Málaga CF	D 1–1	24	0	0.37	0.00	46.4
18 Oct 2026	LaLiga	at Celta Vigo	L 1–2	62	0	0.10	0.01	43.5
10 Oct 2026	LaLiga	Atlético Madrid	L 1–2	64	0	0.01	0.00	43.7
19 Sep 2026	LaLiga	at Athletic Club	D 0–0	25	0	–	0.00	37.4
15 Sep 2026	LaLiga	Valencia	L 0–1	67	0	0.18	0.01	42.8
12 Sep 2026	LaLiga	at Real Racing Club	L 1–2	23	0	0.05	0.13	50.3
28 Aug 2026	LaLiga	Villarreal	W 1–0	54	0	–	0.00	36.0
20 Aug 2026	LaLiga	at Rayo Vallecano	D 1–1	90	0	1.20	0.01	54.7
15 Aug 2026	LaLiga	Getafe	W 3–0	90	0	0.23	0.01	44.8
23 May 2026	LaLiga	Rayo Vallecano	L 1–2	90	1	0.57	0.01	50.2

All 46 matches

Date	Competition	Opponent	Result	Min	Goals	Assists	xG	xA	Score
23 Oct 2026	LaLiga	Málaga CF	D 1–1	24	0	0	0.37	0.00	46.4
18 Oct 2026	LaLiga	at Celta Vigo	L 1–2	62	0	0	0.10	0.01	43.5
10 Oct 2026	LaLiga	Atlético Madrid	L 1–2	64	0	0	0.01	0.00	43.7
19 Sep 2026	LaLiga	at Athletic Club	D 0–0	25	0	0	–	0.00	37.4
15 Sep 2026	LaLiga	Valencia	L 0–1	67	0	0	0.18	0.01	42.8
12 Sep 2026	LaLiga	at Real Racing Club	L 1–2	23	0	0	0.05	0.13	50.3
28 Aug 2026	LaLiga	Villarreal	W 1–0	54	0	0	–	0.00	36.0
20 Aug 2026	LaLiga	at Rayo Vallecano	D 1–1	90	0	0	1.20	0.01	54.7
15 Aug 2026	LaLiga	Getafe	W 3–0	90	0	0	0.23	0.01	44.8
23 May 2026	LaLiga	Rayo Vallecano	L 1–2	90	1	0	0.57	0.01	50.2
17 May 2026	LaLiga	at Real Oviedo	W 1–0	82	1	0	0.97	0.02	55.2
13 May 2026	LaLiga	FC Barcelona	W 1–0	90	0	0	0.13	0.01	40.6
9 May 2026	LaLiga	at Elche	D 1–1	67	1	0	0.81	0.10	61.3
2 May 2026	LaLiga	Athletic Club	L 2–4	90	0	0	0.05	0.13	44.6
25 Apr 2026	LaLiga	Mallorca	W 2–1	81	2	0	0.43	0.48	69.9
21 Apr 2026	LaLiga	at Real Madrid	L 1–2	90	1	0	0.92	0.09	68.9
11 Apr 2026	LaLiga	at Real Sociedad	D 3–3	90	0	0	0.22	0.05	47.0
5 Apr 2026	LaLiga	Osasuna	D 2–2	90	1	0	0.54	0.01	52.9
22 Mar 2026	LaLiga	at Celta Vigo	W 4–3	89	2	1	0.64	0.26	74.8
13 Mar 2026	LaLiga	Villarreal	D 1–1	89	0	0	0.07	0.04	48.4
8 Mar 2026	LaLiga	at Valencia	L 2–3	84	0	0	–	0.02	41.4
27 Feb 2026	LaLiga	at Levante UD	L 0–2	63	0	0	0.20	0.04	48.3
23 Feb 2026	LaLiga	Girona FC	D 2–2	90	0	0	0.32	0.09	40.7
14 Feb 2026	LaLiga	at Sevilla	D 1–1	90	1	0	0.38	0.04	58.7
8 Feb 2026	LaLiga	Getafe	L 0–2	59	0	0	0.52	0.01	51.2
30 Jan 2026	LaLiga	at Espanyol	W 2–1	74	0	1	0.14	0.55	60.9
25 Jan 2026	LaLiga	Real Betis	W 2–1	72	1	0	0.42	0.03	63.3
18 Jan 2026	LaLiga	at Atlético Madrid	L 0–1	55	0	0	0.02	0.00	43.6
10 Jan 2026	LaLiga	at Villarreal	L 1–3	90	1	0	0.52	0.00	55.9
4 Jan 2026	LaLiga	Real Oviedo	D 1–1	89	0	0	0.42	0.03	41.9
20 Dec 2025	LaLiga	at Osasuna	L 0–3	90	0	0	0.42	0.01	44.4
14 Dec 2025	LaLiga	Real Madrid	L 1–2	23	0	0	0.48	0.01	65.8
29 Nov 2025	LaLiga	at FC Barcelona	L 1–3	10	0	0	–	0.00	47.2
22 Nov 2025	LaLiga	Celta Vigo	L 0–1	89	0	0	0.15	0.01	40.6
8 Nov 2025	LaLiga	at Girona FC	L 0–1	90	0	0	0.16	0.00	43.7
2 Nov 2025	LaLiga	Espanyol	W 2–1	61	0	0	–	0.00	46.0
26 Oct 2025	LaLiga	at Rayo Vallecano	L 0–1	84	0	0	0.44	0.00	46.9
20 Oct 2025	LaLiga	Valencia	D 0–0	71	0	0	0.14	0.02	47.0
5 Oct 2025	LaLiga	Elche	W 3–1	85	1	0	0.25	0.00	51.3
27 Sep 2025	LaLiga	at Mallorca	L 0–1	25	0	0	0.04	0.00	45.7
24 Sep 2025	LaLiga	at Getafe	D 1–1	78	0	1	0.10	0.00	48.5
20 Sep 2025	LaLiga	Sevilla	L 1–2	32	0	0	0.03	0.01	49.8
13 Sep 2025	LaLiga	at Athletic Club	W 1–0	45	0	0	0.02	0.00	49.4
30 Aug 2025	LaLiga	Atlético Madrid	D 1–1	80	0	0	0.04	0.00	44.7
22 Aug 2025	LaLiga	at Real Betis	L 0–1	58	0	0	–	0.00	44.3
16 Aug 2025	LaLiga	Levante UD	W 2–1	90	1	0	0.57	0.06	60.4