Real Madrid 2–1 Deportivo Alavés
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 2.4 – 0.8
- Actual xG
- 1.6 – 1.8
- Goals
- 2 – 1
Footybot made Real Madrid favourites at 71%.
Real Madrid won a close one on the chances: 1.6 xG to 1.8.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Arda Güler, 74.8 in 58′.
Well above their usual level: Toni Martínez +16.6, Andriy Lunin +12.9, Arda Güler +10.9.
Well below it: Federico Valverde −15.0, Lucas Boyé −8.2.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Real Madrid
| 15 Apr 2026 | L 3–4 | at FC Bayern München |
| 10 Apr 2026 | D 1–1 | v Girona FC |
| 7 Apr 2026 | L 1–2 | v FC Bayern München |
| 4 Apr 2026 | L 1–2 | at Mallorca |
| 22 Mar 2026 | W 3–2 | v Atlético Madrid |
Deportivo Alavés
| 11 Apr 2026 | D 3–3 | at Real Sociedad |
| 5 Apr 2026 | D 2–2 | v Osasuna |
| 22 Mar 2026 | W 4–3 | at Celta Vigo |
| 13 Mar 2026 | D 1–1 | v Villarreal |
| 8 Mar 2026 | L 2–3 | at Valencia |
Head to head
| 14 Dec 2025 | Deportivo Alavés 1–2 Real Madrid |
Real Madrid
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arda Güler | 58 | 74.8 | +10.9 |
| Vinícius Júnior | 90 | 70.4 | +7.9 |
| Jude Bellingham | 58 | 69.1 | +5.8 |
| Kylian Mbappé | 90 | 68.7 | +4.9 |
| Trent Alexander-Arnold | 63 | 60.0 | +2.8 |
| Brahim Díaz | 32 | 57.0 | – |
| Andriy Lunin | 90 | 56.7 | +12.9 |
| Dean Huijsen | 90 | 55.4 | +4.1 |
| Aurélien Tchouaméni | 63 | 52.2 | −5.7 |
| Álvaro Carreras | 90 | 51.1 | −7.6 |
| Éder Militão | 44 | 50.0 | – |
| Federico Valverde | 90 | 48.8 | −15.0 |
| Antonio Rüdiger | 46 | 46.5 | −4.5 |
| Franco Mastantuono | 32 | 46.5 | – |
| Dani Carvajal | 27 | 45.3 | – |
| Eduardo Camavinga | 27 | 40.8 | – |
Deportivo Alavés
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ander Guevara | 15 | 90.7 | – |
| Carles Aleñá | 32 | 77.9 | – |
| Toni Martínez | 90 | 70.3 | +16.6 |
| Pablo Ibáñez | 32 | 66.2 | – |
| Ángel Pérez | 90 | 60.5 | +8.5 |
| Antonio Blanco | 75 | 59.9 | +10.3 |
| Calebe Gonçalves | 24 | 58.7 | – |
| Denis Suárez | 58 | 52.5 | +6.8 |
| Nahuel Tenaglia | 90 | 51.7 | +6.0 |
| Antonio Sivera | 90 | 49.3 | +4.1 |
| Victor Parada | 90 | 47.8 | +6.2 |
| Youssef Enriquez | 66 | 47.4 | −0.0 |
| Lucas Boyé | 66 | 46.6 | −8.2 |
| Jon Guridi | 58 | 41.9 | −2.3 |
| Ibrahim Diabaté | 24 | 41.7 | – |
| Jonny Otto | 90 | 40.2 | −6.4 |