UEFA Champions League 25/26, Quarterfinals · 15 Apr 2026

FC Bayern München 4–3 Real Madrid

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Mar 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made FC Bayern München favourites at 68%.

FC Bayern München won a close one on the chances: 2.1 xG to 2.3.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Joshua Kimmich, 78.0 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Joshua Kimmich +18.2, Kylian Mbappé +15.1, Aleksandar Pavlović +11.8.

Well below it: Manuel Neuer −18.5, Serge Gnabry −14.6, Jonathan Tah −13.4.

Each side's last five results before this match.

11 Apr 2026	W 5–0	at FC St. Pauli Bundesliga
7 Apr 2026	W 2–1	at Real Madrid Champions League
4 Apr 2026	W 3–2	at SC Freiburg Bundesliga
21 Mar 2026	W 4–0	v 1. FC Union Berlin Bundesliga
18 Mar 2026	W 4–1	v Atalanta Champions League

10 Apr 2026	D 1–1	v Girona FC LaLiga
7 Apr 2026	L 1–2	v FC Bayern München Champions League
4 Apr 2026	L 1–2	at Mallorca LaLiga
22 Mar 2026	W 3–2	v Atlético Madrid LaLiga
17 Mar 2026	W 2–1	at Manchester City Champions League

7 Apr 2026	Real Madrid 1–2 FC Bayern München Champions League

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Joshua Kimmich Midfielder	90	0	1	0.08	78.0	+18.2
Michael Olise Midfielder	90	1	0	0.18	71.6	+7.6
Aleksandar Pavlović Midfielder	90	1	0	0.95	69.3	+11.8
Dayot Upamecano Defender	90	0	1	0.23	66.5	+8.1
Luis Díaz Midfielder	90	1	0	0.17	58.8	−2.2
Josip Stanišić Defender	45	0	0	0.04	58.7	+3.2
Harry Kane Forward	90	1	1	0.27	57.5	−11.2
Alphonso Davies Defender	45	0	0	0.02	52.9	−1.6
Jamal Musiala Midfielder	29	0	1	0.04	51.3	–
Konrad Laimer Defender	90	0	0	–	46.1	−9.7
Serge Gnabry Midfielder	61	0	0	0.10	46.1	−14.6
Jonathan Tah Defender	90	0	0	–	43.5	−13.4
Manuel Neuer Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	33.5	−18.5

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Kylian Mbappé Forward	90	1	0	1.26	76.2	+15.1
Jude Bellingham Midfielder	90	0	0	0.05	68.2	+8.8
Éder Militão Defender	90	0	0	–	67.3	+7.5
Arda Güler Midfielder	89	2	0	0.53	58.6	−7.0
Franco Mastantuono Forward	1	0	0	–	53.4	–
Federico Valverde Midfielder	90	0	0	0.06	53.0	−6.4
Trent Alexander-Arnold Defender	89	0	0	–	51.0	−5.3
Antonio Rüdiger Defender	90	0	0	–	49.6	−0.5
Vinícius Júnior Forward	90	0	1	0.36	49.6	−11.4
Brahim Díaz Midfielder	62	0	0	–	47.9	−3.1
Ferland Mendy Defender	90	0	0	–	46.9	−10.2
Andriy Lunin Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	33.9	−13.1
Eduardo Camavinga Midfielder	24	0	0	0.02	21.5	–
Thiago Pitarch Midfielder	1	0	0	–	11.8	–