FOOTYBOT
Matchday

LaLiga 25/26 · 22 Mar 2026

Real Madrid 3–2 Atlético Madrid

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Feb 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
2.3 – 1.1
Actual xG
2.4 – 1.0
Goals
3 – 2

Footybot made Real Madrid favourites at 64%.

Real Madrid won and made the better chances: 2.4 xG to 1.0.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Ademola Lookman, 72.2 in 57′.

Well above their usual level: Ademola Lookman +23.3, Giuliano Simeone +22.0, Dávid Hancko +20.0.

Well below it: Federico Valverde −14.7, Juan Musso −13.8, José María Giménez −10.5.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Real Madrid

17 Mar 2026W 2–1at Manchester City Champions League
14 Mar 2026W 4–1v Elche LaLiga
11 Mar 2026W 3–0v Manchester City Champions League
6 Mar 2026W 2–1at Celta Vigo LaLiga
2 Mar 2026L 0–1v Getafe LaLiga

Atlético Madrid

18 Mar 2026L 2–3at Tottenham Hotspur Champions League
14 Mar 2026W 1–0v Getafe LaLiga
10 Mar 2026W 5–2v Tottenham Hotspur Champions League
7 Mar 2026W 3–2v Real Sociedad LaLiga
28 Feb 2026W 1–0at Real Oviedo LaLiga

Head to head

27 Sep 2025Atlético Madrid 5–2 Real Madrid LaLiga

Real Madrid

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Vinícius Júnior Forward87201.5371.1+8.2
Arda Güler Midfielder74000.0756.6−0.4
Andriy Lunin Goalkeeper9000–51.0–
Aurélien Tchouaméni Midfielder90000.0549.6−8.0
Dean Huijsen Defender9000–47.5−3.5
Federico Valverde Midfielder77100.4847.0−14.7
Kylian Mbappé Forward2600–46.4–
Brahim Díaz Midfielder7400–45.4−6.8
Antonio Rüdiger Defender90000.1244.2−3.5
Dani Carvajal Defender64000.1143.8−4.8
Jude Bellingham Midfielder1600–43.2–
Thiago Pitarch Midfielder6400–41.3−3.2
Fran García Defender90000.0139.7−1.9
Eduardo Camavinga Midfielder1600–39.6–
Trent Alexander-Arnold Defender26010.0435.3–
Álvaro Carreras Defender900–24.6–

Atlético Madrid

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Nahuel Molina Defender33100.0280.1–
Ademola Lookman Forward57100.4472.2+23.3
Giuliano Simeone Midfielder71010.0268.9+22.0
Dávid Hancko Defender9000–66.8+20.0
Matteo Ruggeri Defender9000–62.5+13.0
Marcos Llorente Defender90000.0961.9+17.7
Alex Baena Midfielder19000.0260.4–
Antoine Griezmann Forward57000.0758.6+4.8
Julián Alvarez Forward90010.2652.9−7.1
Nicolás González Midfielder3300–49.2–
Koke Midfielder9000–48.2−9.1
Robin Le Normand Defender4500–46.2−5.6
Johnny Cardoso Midfielder5700–44.9−0.8
José María Giménez Defender4500–44.6−10.5
Alexander Sørloth Forward33000.0743.8–
Juan Musso Goalkeeper9000–42.8−13.8