Matchday

UEFA Champions League 25/26, Round of 16 · 11 Mar 2026

Real Madrid 3–0 Manchester City

Picked for matchday: Two strong sides · Standout: Federico Valverde scored 96.2

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Feb 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.7 – 1.4
Actual xG
2.6 – 0.6
Goals
3 – 0

Footybot made Real Madrid favourites at 43%.

Real Madrid won and made the better chances: 2.6 xG to 0.6.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Federico Valverde, 96.2 in 90′.

Real Madrid

PlayerMinGAxGScore
Federico Valverde Midfielder90301.3696.2
Thibaut Courtois Goalkeeper9001–63.3
Arda Güler Midfielder70000.0259.8
Vinícius Júnior Forward90001.0058.6
Ferland Mendy Defender4500–58.2
Brahim Díaz Midfielder76010.1954.4
Eduardo Camavinga Midfielder2000–52.2
Trent Alexander-Arnold Defender8300–51.4
Fran García Defender4500–50.7
Dani Carvajal Defender1100–50.5
Antonio Rüdiger Defender90000.0246.8
Aurélien Tchouaméni Midfielder90000.0643.9
Manuel Ángel Morán Midfielder1400–43.3
Dean Huijsen Defender9000–42.6
Thiago Pitarch Midfielder7600–42.1
Franco Mastantuono Forward1400–40.7

Manchester City

PlayerMinGAxGScore
Jérémy Doku Midfielder90000.0472.1
Rodri Midfielder9000–64.9
Abdukodir Khusanov Defender9000–64.7
Marc Guéhi Defender9000–64.6
Bernardo Silva Midfielder70000.0760.6
Rúben Dias Defender90000.1853.5
Rayan Aït-Nouri Defender2000–49.3
Rayan Cherki Midfielder2100–49.1
Omar Marmoush Forward8000.0146.6
Antoine Semenyo Midfielder69000.1346.3
Nico O'Reilly Defender90000.1242.5
Sávio Midfielder4500–39.5
Gianluigi Donnarumma Goalkeeper9000–39.3
Tijjani Reijnders Midfielder45000.0239.3
Erling Haaland Forward8200–37.0