FOOTYBOT
Matchday

LaLiga 25/26 · 27 Sep 2025

Atlético Madrid 5–2 Real Madrid

Picked for matchday: Two strong sides · Standout: Antoine Griezmann scored 100.0

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Aug 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.9 – 1.1
Actual xG
2.3 – 0.7
Goals
5 – 2

Footybot made Atlético Madrid favourites at 54%.

Atlético Madrid won and made the better chances: 2.3 xG to 0.7.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Arda Güler, 87.3 in 59′.

Well above their usual level: Arda Güler +19.8, Éder Militão +18.5, Julián Alvarez +17.7.

Well below it: Thibaut Courtois −30.5, Marcos Llorente −20.2, Vinícius Júnior −16.0.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Atlético Madrid

24 Sep 2025W 3–2v Rayo Vallecano LaLiga
21 Sep 2025D 1–1at Mallorca LaLiga
17 Sep 2025L 2–3at Liverpool FC Champions League
13 Sep 2025W 2–0v Villarreal LaLiga
30 Aug 2025D 1–1at Deportivo Alavés LaLiga

Real Madrid

23 Sep 2025W 4–1at Levante UD LaLiga
20 Sep 2025W 2–0v Espanyol LaLiga
16 Sep 2025W 2–1v Olympique de Marseille Champions League
13 Sep 2025W 2–1at Real Sociedad LaLiga
30 Aug 2025W 2–1v Mallorca LaLiga

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Atlético Madrid

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Antoine Griezmann Forward14100.47100.0–
Alex Baena Midfielder101–100.0–
Julián Alvarez Forward89200.9179.4+17.7
Alexander Sørloth Forward67100.5156.3+6.5
Javi Galán Defender1400–55.9–
Koke Midfielder9001–54.6+0.7
Giuliano Simeone Midfielder8901–52.8−4.1
Pablo Barrios Midfielder90000.0452.6−4.4
Robin Le Normand Defender90100.2652.2+0.2
Clément Lenglet Defender90000.0551.3−3.5
Nicolás González Midfielder83000.0649.7−7.6
Conor Gallagher Midfielder2300–47.6–
Dávid Hancko Defender83000.0541.4−4.7
Marcos Llorente Defender9000–36.8−20.2
Jan Oblak Goalkeeper9000–33.7−10.2
Nahuel Molina Defender100–0.0–

Real Madrid

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Arda Güler Midfielder59110.3687.3+19.8
Franco Mastantuono Forward31000.0485.5–
Rodrygo Forward20000.0676.5–
Éder Militão Defender4500–70.5+18.5
Kylian Mbappé Forward90100.1767.1−10.0
Jude Bellingham Midfielder70000.0364.1–
Federico Valverde Midfielder9000–61.0+10.6
Dean Huijsen Defender8900–60.0+5.5
Álvaro Carreras Defender9000–55.2+0.6
Eduardo Camavinga Midfielder3100–54.8–
Raúl Asencio Defender4500–49.4–
Aurélien Tchouaméni Midfielder9000–48.6−4.9
Dani Carvajal Defender5900–44.8−7.0
Vinícius Júnior Forward9001–44.5−16.0
Gonzalo García Forward800–39.9–
Thibaut Courtois Goalkeeper9000–20.8−30.5