UEFA Champions League 25/26 · 16 Sep 2025

Real Madrid 2–1 Olympique de Marseille

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Aug 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Real Madrid favourites at 78%.

Real Madrid won and made the better chances: 3.7 xG to 0.7.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Kylian Mbappé, 89.2 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Gerónimo Rulli +25.5, Kylian Mbappé +14.7, Pierre-Emile Højbjerg +11.8.

Well below it: Arda Güler −20.5, Dean Huijsen −19.3, Éder Militão −11.3.

Each side's last five results before this match.

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Kylian Mbappé Forward	90	2	2.24	89.2	+14.7
Brahim Díaz Midfielder	27	0	0.12	55.5	–
Rodrygo Forward	63	0	0.15	55.4	–
Thibaut Courtois Goalkeeper	90	0	–	53.9	+2.3
Aurélien Tchouaméni Midfielder	90	0	0.02	50.2	−4.3
Dani Carvajal Defender	67	0	0.09	49.5	–
Arda Güler Midfielder	73	0	0.11	49.4	−20.5
Franco Mastantuono Forward	63	0	0.75	49.3	+4.8
Federico Valverde Midfielder	90	0	–	47.2	−2.0
Álvaro Carreras Defender	90	0	–	45.6	−4.7
Éder Militão Defender	90	0	–	42.2	−11.3
Vinícius Júnior Forward	27	0	0.16	42.1	–
Dean Huijsen Defender	90	0	0.10	40.1	−19.3
Trent Alexander-Arnold Defender	5	0	–	38.2	–
Raúl Asencio Defender	17	0	–	35.7	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Amine Gouiri Forward	12	0	0	–	100.0	–
Conrad Jaden Egan-Riley Defender	9	0	0	–	100.0	–
Gerónimo Rulli Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	76.2	+25.5
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg Midfielder	90	0	0	–	72.0	+11.8
Benjamin Pavard Defender	88	0	0	–	67.5	–
Leonardo Balerdi Defender	90	0	0	0.02	64.7	+3.3
Mason Greenwood Midfielder	90	0	1	0.17	63.6	+7.6
Emerson Defender	78	0	0	–	62.7	–
Matt O'Riley Midfielder	66	0	0	0.02	61.4	+2.5
Facundo Medina Defender	90	0	0	–	59.5	–
Amir Murillo Defender	12	0	0	–	54.9	–
Geoffrey Kondogbia Midfielder	67	0	0	0.05	54.0	–
Arthur Vermeeren Midfielder	23	0	0	–	53.3	–
Timothy Weah Midfielder	78	1	0	0.13	53.0	+1.8
Igor Paixão Midfielder	24	0	0	0.07	48.0	–
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang Forward	90	0	0	0.27	44.0	–