Premier League 25/26 · 10 May 2026

Burnley 2–2 Aston Villa

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Apr 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot saw it as open: Burnley 33%, the draw 27%, Aston Villa 40%.

A draw the chances agree with: 1.8 xG to 1.4.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Ross Barkley, 61.9 in 80′.

Well above their usual level: Ross Barkley +8.9.

Well below it: Morgan Rogers −17.4, Victor Lindelöf −13.5, Maxime Estève −10.7.

Each side's last five results before this match.

1 May 2026	L 1–3	at Leeds United Premier League
22 Apr 2026	L 0–1	v Manchester City Premier League
19 Apr 2026	L 1–4	at Nottingham Forest Premier League
11 Apr 2026	L 0–2	v Brighton & Hove Albion Premier League
21 Mar 2026	L 1–3	at Fulham Premier League

7 May 2026	W 4–0	v Nottingham Forest Europa League
3 May 2026	L 1–2	v Tottenham Hotspur Premier League
30 Apr 2026	L 0–1	at Nottingham Forest Europa League
25 Apr 2026	L 0–1	at Fulham Premier League
19 Apr 2026	W 4–3	v Sunderland Premier League

5 Oct 2025	Aston Villa 2–1 Burnley Premier League

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Jacob Bruun Larsen Forward	10	0	0	–	81.6	–
Zian Flemming Forward	79	1	0	0.90	58.9	+8.0
Hannibal Mejbri Midfielder	69	0	1	0.02	57.4	+5.9
Loum Tchaouna Midfielder	90	0	0	0.05	53.1	+7.2
Lucas Pires Defender	90	0	0	–	52.6	+3.2
Max Weiss Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	51.2	–
Zeki Amdouni Forward	11	0	0	0.16	49.3	–
Lesley Ugochukwu Midfielder	79	0	0	0.02	46.7	+2.4
Axel Tuanzebe Defender	90	0	0	–	46.3	−2.9
Florentino Luís Midfielder	87	0	0	0.02	45.3	−2.6
Josh Laurent Midfielder	11	0	0	–	45.2	–
Jaidon Anthony Midfielder	87	1	0	0.61	44.8	−8.4
Maxime Estève Defender	90	0	0	–	41.5	−10.7
James Ward-Prowse Midfielder	10	0	0	–	41.0	–
Kyle Walker Defender	90	0	0	–	41.0	−5.3
Lyle Foster Forward	21	0	0	–	30.8	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Lucas Digne Defender	16	0	0	–	79.7	–
Douglas Luiz Midfielder	10	0	0	0.02	66.7	–
Leon Bailey Forward	12	0	0	–	66.2	–
Ross Barkley Midfielder	80	1	0	0.73	61.9	+8.9
Lamare Bogarde Midfielder	10	0	0	–	59.0	–
Tyrone Mings Defender	90	0	0	–	55.4	+3.8
John McGinn Midfielder	85	0	1	0.21	55.4	−2.7
Ian Maatsen Defender	74	0	0	0.03	52.4	+5.1
Ezri Konsa Defender	90	0	0	–	50.7	+1.9
Emiliano Martínez Goalkeeper	90	0	1	–	49.5	−2.6
Ollie Watkins Forward	90	1	0	0.13	48.9	−9.0
Youri Tielemans Midfielder	90	0	0	0.07	48.3	−6.5
Emiliano Buendía Midfielder	16	0	0	0.06	44.2	–
Matty Cash Defender	80	0	0	–	35.8	−5.4
Victor Lindelöf Defender	74	0	0	–	34.6	−13.5
Morgan Rogers Midfielder	90	0	0	0.16	33.8	−17.4