Burnley 0–1 Manchester City
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.0 – 1.7
- Actual xG
- 0.6 – 3.4
- Goals
- 0 – 1
Footybot made Manchester City favourites at 53%.
Manchester City won and made the better chances: 3.4 xG to 0.6.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Martin Dúbravka, 71.0 in 90′.
Well above their usual level: Martin Dúbravka +31.4, Kyle Walker +9.8, Abdukodir Khusanov +9.1.
Well below it: Jérémy Doku −15.0, Maxime Estève −13.6, Matheus Nunes −12.4.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Burnley
| 19 Apr 2026 | L 1–4 | at Nottingham Forest |
| 11 Apr 2026 | L 0–2 | v Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 21 Mar 2026 | L 1–3 | at Fulham |
| 14 Mar 2026 | D 0–0 | v Bournemouth |
| 3 Mar 2026 | L 0–2 | at Everton |
Manchester City
| 19 Apr 2026 | W 2–1 | v Arsenal |
| 12 Apr 2026 | W 3–0 | at Chelsea |
| 17 Mar 2026 | L 1–2 | v Real Madrid |
| 14 Mar 2026 | D 1–1 | at West Ham United |
| 11 Mar 2026 | L 0–3 | at Real Madrid |
Head to head
| 27 Sep 2025 | Manchester City 5–1 Burnley |
Burnley
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Dúbravka | 90 | 71.0 | +31.4 |
| Quilindschy Hartman | 90 | 56.1 | +8.9 |
| Kyle Walker | 90 | 54.9 | +9.8 |
| James Ward-Prowse | 90 | 53.0 | −6.4 |
| Bashir Humphreys | 82 | 49.7 | +3.3 |
| Armando Broja | 8 | 49.5 | – |
| Loum Tchaouna | 72 | 49.4 | +7.5 |
| Lyle Foster | 18 | 48.5 | – |
| Jaidon Anthony | 87 | 45.9 | −8.0 |
| Zian Flemming | 82 | 44.5 | −6.3 |
| Josh Laurent | 87 | 43.6 | −3.9 |
| Hjalmar Ekdal | 90 | 39.9 | −12.0 |
| Florentino Luís | 8 | 39.3 | – |
| Maxime Estève | 90 | 38.4 | −13.6 |
| Mike Trésor | 8 | 32.9 | – |
| Marcus Edwards | 8 | 31.0 | – |
Manchester City
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rayan Cherki | 90 | 69.1 | +3.3 |
| Abdukodir Khusanov | 90 | 66.1 | +9.1 |
| Bernardo Silva | 90 | 66.1 | +3.0 |
| Nico González | 25 | 63.6 | – |
| Erling Haaland | 90 | 58.5 | +2.4 |
| Rayan Aït-Nouri | 65 | 55.6 | −9.1 |
| Antoine Semenyo | 65 | 54.9 | +5.6 |
| Marc Guéhi | 90 | 54.3 | −9.8 |
| Jérémy Doku | 90 | 51.5 | −15.0 |
| Gianluigi Donnarumma | 90 | 50.7 | −2.0 |
| Nico O'Reilly | 90 | 47.1 | −8.8 |
| Sávio | 25 | 47.1 | – |
| Matheus Nunes | 90 | 42.8 | −12.4 |