Arsenal 1–0 Burnley
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 2.8 – 0.5
- Actual xG
- 1.0 – 0.2
- Goals
- 1 – 0
Footybot made Arsenal favourites at 85%.
Arsenal won and made the better chances: 1.0 xG to 0.2.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Lucas Pires, 73.2 in 90′.
Well above their usual level: Lucas Pires +23.5, Hannibal Mejbri +10.3, Jaidon Anthony +8.0.
Well below it: Bukayo Saka −17.8, Cristhian Mosquera −15.3, Declan Rice −12.7.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Arsenal
| 10 May 2026 | W 1–0 | at West Ham United |
| 5 May 2026 | W 1–0 | v Atlético Madrid |
| 2 May 2026 | W 3–0 | v Fulham |
| 29 Apr 2026 | D 1–1 | at Atlético Madrid |
| 25 Apr 2026 | W 1–0 | v Newcastle United |
Burnley
| 10 May 2026 | D 2–2 | v Aston Villa |
| 1 May 2026 | L 1–3 | at Leeds United |
| 22 Apr 2026 | L 0–1 | v Manchester City |
| 19 Apr 2026 | L 1–4 | at Nottingham Forest |
| 11 Apr 2026 | L 0–2 | v Brighton & Hove Albion |
Head to head
| 1 Nov 2025 | Burnley 0–2 Arsenal |
Arsenal
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kai Havertz | 73 | 58.0 | +5.1 |
| William Saliba | 90 | 52.0 | −2.0 |
| David Raya | 90 | 46.8 | −6.8 |
| Eberechi Eze | 73 | 44.0 | −8.3 |
| Bukayo Saka | 90 | 43.9 | −17.8 |
| Declan Rice | 90 | 43.4 | −12.7 |
| Leandro Trossard | 89 | 43.3 | −9.1 |
| Riccardo Calafiori | 72 | 40.5 | −10.7 |
| Myles Lewis-Skelly | 17 | 38.4 | – |
| Gabriel Magalhães | 90 | 38.1 | −9.3 |
| Martin Ødegaard | 89 | 37.6 | −9.9 |
| Cristhian Mosquera | 90 | 37.4 | −15.3 |
| Viktor Gyökeres | 17 | 34.3 | – |
| Piero Hincapié | 18 | 23.2 | – |
| Gabriel Martinelli | 1 | 0.0 | – |
| Martín Zubimendi | 1 | 0.0 | – |
Burnley
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Pires | 90 | 73.2 | +23.5 |
| Bashir Humphreys | 8 | 67.6 | – |
| Hannibal Mejbri | 70 | 63.2 | +10.3 |
| Jaidon Anthony | 90 | 59.4 | +8.0 |
| Loum Tchaouna | 82 | 55.4 | +7.8 |
| Max Weiss | 90 | 52.4 | – |
| Florentino Luís | 78 | 51.2 | +4.1 |
| James Ward-Prowse | 12 | 51.1 | – |
| Maxime Estève | 82 | 51.1 | +1.1 |
| Zian Flemming | 90 | 47.7 | −4.2 |
| Lesley Ugochukwu | 71 | 45.6 | +0.9 |
| Kyle Walker | 90 | 42.8 | −2.6 |
| Axel Tuanzebe | 90 | 41.7 | −7.6 |
| Josh Laurent | 19 | 41.0 | – |
| Jacob Bruun Larsen | 8 | 40.7 | – |
| Zeki Amdouni | 20 | 39.5 | – |