UEFA Champions League 25/26, Semifinals · 29 Apr 2026

Atlético Madrid 1–1 Arsenal

Picked for matchday: Chances everywhere: 3.7 xG · Standout: Alex Baena scored 100.0

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Mar 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Arsenal favourites at 47%.

Atlético Madrid deserved more from the draw, creating 2.2 xG to 1.5.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Julián Alvarez, 84.3 in 77′.

Well above their usual level: Matteo Ruggeri +25.6, Viktor Gyökeres +23.9, Julián Alvarez +23.0.

Well below it: Gabriel Martinelli −8.4.

Each side's last five results before this match.

25 Apr 2026	W 3–2	v Athletic Club LaLiga
22 Apr 2026	L 2–3	at Elche LaLiga
14 Apr 2026	L 1–2	v FC Barcelona Champions League
11 Apr 2026	L 1–2	at Sevilla LaLiga
8 Apr 2026	W 2–0	at FC Barcelona Champions League

25 Apr 2026	W 1–0	v Newcastle United Premier League
19 Apr 2026	L 1–2	at Manchester City Premier League
15 Apr 2026	D 0–0	v Sporting CP Champions League
11 Apr 2026	L 1–2	v Bournemouth Premier League
7 Apr 2026	W 1–0	at Sporting CP Champions League

21 Oct 2025	Arsenal 4–0 Atlético Madrid Champions League

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Alex Baena Midfielder	13	0	–	100.0	–
Julián Alvarez Forward	77	1	1.00	84.3	+23.0
Matteo Ruggeri Defender	90	0	–	77.3	+25.6
Ademola Lookman Forward	90	0	0.74	68.5	+13.7
Antoine Griezmann Forward	90	0	0.31	63.5	+11.3
Koke Midfielder	90	0	–	51.1	−2.2
Giuliano Simeone Midfielder	45	0	–	50.9	−0.4
Marc Pubill Defender	90	0	–	50.8	+0.8
Dávid Hancko Defender	90	0	0.05	50.4	+1.0
Robin Le Normand Defender	45	0	–	47.3	−3.1
Jan Oblak Goalkeeper	90	0	–	45.9	−2.4
Marcos Llorente Defender	90	0	0.05	45.3	−2.4
Johnny Cardoso Midfielder	88	0	0.04	45.2	−0.7
Nahuel Molina Defender	9	0	0.03	35.8	–

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Bukayo Saka Forward	22	0	–	72.7	–
Eberechi Eze Midfielder	32	0	–	70.4	–
Viktor Gyökeres Forward	69	1	0.79	67.2	+23.9
Noni Madueke Forward	68	0	0.09	56.8	+6.5
William Saliba Defender	90	0	–	56.4	−0.5
Gabriel Jesus Forward	21	0	–	54.4	–
David Raya Goalkeeper	90	0	–	53.6	−0.5
Leandro Trossard Forward	22	0	0.13	52.1	–
Martin Ødegaard Midfielder	58	0	0.24	50.6	+0.6
Piero Hincapié Defender	90	0	0.09	50.2	−3.5
Declan Rice Midfielder	90	0	0.05	49.5	−7.5
Cristhian Mosquera Defender	11	0	0.08	48.3	–
Gabriel Magalhães Defender	90	0	–	47.9	−2.7
Martín Zubimendi Midfielder	90	0	–	45.5	−3.7
Gabriel Martinelli Forward	68	0	0.02	43.6	−8.4
Ben White Defender	86	0	–	40.9	−7.8