Championship 26/27 · 12 Sep 2026

Blackburn Rovers 3–1 Millwall

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Aug 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Blackburn Rovers favourites at 45%.

Blackburn Rovers won although Millwall made the better chances (1.6 xG to 1.1): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Oladapo Afolayan, 66.3 in 69′.

Well above their usual level: Oladapo Afolayan +25.9, Mark Sykes +22.4, Zak Sturge +19.3.

Well below it: Max Crocombe −26.5, Sean McLoughlin −9.5.

Each side's last five results before this match.

8 Sep 2026	L 1–2	v Sheffield United Championship
5 Sep 2026	L 1–2	at Preston North End Championship
1 Sep 2026	D 0–0	at Lincoln City Championship
29 Aug 2026	L 1–2	v Queens Park Rangers Championship
25 Aug 2026	L 1–2	v Sheffield United EFL Cup

8 Sep 2026	L 0–1	v Newcastle United EFL Cup
5 Sep 2026	W 4–0	v Bolton Wanderers Championship
2 Sep 2026	L 0–3	v Wrexham Championship
29 Aug 2026	L 1–5	at Southampton Championship
25 Aug 2026	W 1–0	at Cambridge United EFL Cup

14 Mar 2026	Millwall 1–2 Blackburn Rovers Championship
20 Dec 2025	Blackburn Rovers 2–0 Millwall Championship

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Andri Guðjohnsen Forward	20	1	0	0.35	92.4	–
Oladapo Afolayan Forward	69	2	0	0.36	66.3	+25.9
Jayden Fevrier Forward	21	0	1	0.11	51.0	–
Hayden Carter Defender	90	0	0	–	47.8	+14.9
Balázs Tóth Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	45.2	−6.4
Sam Morsy Midfielder	90	0	1	0.08	45.2	+1.5
Kristi Montgomery Midfielder	90	0	0	0.03	43.8	+4.6
Tom Atcheson Defender	90	0	1	0.02	42.1	+4.9
Sean McLoughlin Defender	90	0	0	0.01	41.0	−9.5
Todd Cantwell Midfielder	70	0	0	0.02	40.0	+0.6
Ryoya Morishita Midfielder	90	0	0	–	37.5	+1.6
Ryan Alebiosu Midfielder	45	0	0	0.03	37.4	−4.5
Harry Pickering Defender	74	0	0	0.03	37.2	+4.4
Yuri Ribeiro Defender	16	0	0	–	32.6	–
Gady Beyuku Defender	45	0	0	0.04	28.1	–

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Elkan Baggott Defender	8	0	–	63.9	–
Lyndon Dykes Forward	90	1	0.92	59.3	+18.0
Mark Sykes Midfielder	45	0	–	58.1	+22.4
Zak Sturge Defender	90	0	0.03	48.7	+19.3
Derek Mazou-Sacko Midfielder	76	0	0.01	47.8	+10.1
Jake Cooper Defender	82	0	0.01	47.2	+1.1
Camiel Neghli Midfielder	90	0	0.09	47.0	+9.7
Caleb Taylor Defender	90	0	–	46.8	−4.0
Jordi Osei-Tutu Defender	45	0	–	45.0	+2.9
Zak Lovelace Forward	8	0	–	42.5	–
Jenson Metcalfe Midfielder	82	0	–	41.6	+3.5
Romain Esse Midfielder	45	0	0.09	40.0	+6.3
Tairyk Arconte Forward	90	0	0.34	39.4	−2.9
Daniel Kelly Midfielder	14	0	–	39.3	–
Yanis Issoufou Midfielder	45	0	0.14	35.9	–
Max Crocombe Goalkeeper	90	0	–	25.4	−26.5