Matchday

Bundesliga 26/27 · 20 Sep 2026

SC Paderborn 07 3–1 TSG Hoffenheim

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Aug 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
2.0 – 1.3
Actual xG
0.7 – 1.4
Goals
3 – 1

Footybot made SC Paderborn 07 favourites at 54%.

SC Paderborn 07 won although TSG Hoffenheim made the better chances (1.4 xG to 0.7): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Ozan Kabak, 88.1 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Ozan Kabak +28.5, Wouter Burger +24.1, Koki Machida +20.5.

Well below it: Raphael Obermair −10.9, Oliver Baumann −9.2.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

SC Paderborn 07

12 Sep 2026L 0–3at Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga
5 Sep 2026L 0–1v SC Freiburg Bundesliga
29 Aug 2026D 0–0at 1. FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga
23 Aug 2026W 4–2at 1.FC Phönix Lübeck DFB-Pokal
25 May 2026D 1–1v VfL Wolfsburg Bundesliga

TSG Hoffenheim

17 Sep 2026L 0–2at OFI Crete Europa League
12 Sep 2026W 2–1v VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga
5 Sep 2026L 2–3v Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga
29 Aug 2026L 2–3at 1. FC Köln Bundesliga
22 Aug 2026W 4–0at Erzgebirge Aue DFB-Pokal

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

SC Paderborn 07

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Felix Götze Defender1500–75.8–
Jonah Sticker Defender2701–72.1–
Rayan Philippe Forward17000.0366.0–
Jano Ter-Horst Defender90000.0364.1+10.2
Steffen Tigges Forward45100.2063.7+15.3
Santiago Castañeda Midfielder90100.0758.8+8.4
Laurin Curda Midfielder9001–56.9+8.0
Mattes Hansen Defender7500–55.7+4.5
Tjark Lasse Scheller Defender9000–54.7+1.2
Marvin Pieringer Forward45000.0250.9+6.0
Gabriel Vidović Midfielder73000.0650.4+5.3
Nahuel Noll Goalkeeper9000–50.1−5.7
Laurin Ulrich Midfielder9000–49.5+2.8
Stefano Marino Forward73100.2349.3+2.1
Tom Baack Midfielder1700–45.3–
Raphael Obermair Midfielder63000.0638.2−10.9

TSG Hoffenheim

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Fisnik Asllani Forward10000.2197.8–
Patrick Wimmer Midfielder28000.1797.5–
Ozan Kabak Defender9000–88.1+28.5
Wouter Burger Midfielder90000.1876.7+24.1
Koki Machida Defender90000.0873.7+20.5
Vladimír Coufal Defender90000.0166.4+13.3
Mats Rots Defender4500–65.5+15.8
Albian Hajdari Defender45000.0465.3+15.6
Bambasé Conté Midfielder90000.3163.5+12.3
Leon Avdullahu Midfielder8000–62.8+8.9
Adam Daghim Forward80100.2262.7+13.7
Adam Hložek Forward62000.1762.4+9.8
Andrej Kramarić Forward1000–62.3–
Tim Lemperle Forward2800–60.7–
Max Moerstedt Forward6201–47.6−2.3
Oliver Baumann Goalkeeper9000–39.4−9.2