Matchday

Championship 26/27 · 10 Oct 2026

Bolton Wanderers 1–2 Stoke City

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.2 – 0.9
Actual xG
3.0 – 0.7
Goals
1 – 2

Footybot made Bolton Wanderers favourites at 44%.

Stoke City won although Bolton Wanderers made the better chances (3.0 xG to 0.7): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Josh Sheehan, 61.1 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Josh Sheehan +19.0, Eoin Toal +16.2, Ben Wilmot +10.4.

Well below it: Justin Devenny −22.8, Ethan Galbraith −17.3, Thierry Gale −14.8.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Bolton Wanderers

20 Sep 2026W 4–3at Norwich City Championship
12 Sep 2026W 1–0v Cardiff City Championship
8 Sep 2026L 2–3v West Ham United Championship
5 Sep 2026L 0–4at Millwall Championship
1 Sep 2026L 2–3at Sheffield United Championship

Stoke City

19 Sep 2026W 2–1v Sheffield United Championship
12 Sep 2026W 2–1at Watford Championship
8 Sep 2026D 1–1at Cardiff City Championship
5 Sep 2026W 4–0v Charlton Athletic Championship
1 Sep 2026W 1–0v Norwich City Championship

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Bolton Wanderers

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Theo Bair Forward8100.23100.0–
Josh Sheehan Midfielder90000.1461.1+19.0
Eoin Toal Defender9000–58.1+16.2
Ryan Hardie Forward27000.2851.6–
Ethan Erhahon Midfielder4500–50.6+6.9
Max Conway Defender9000–47.2+7.4
Jayden Nelson Forward34000.0846.5–
Ben Davies Defender8200–44.9−0.3
Gavin Bazunu Goalkeeper9000–43.2−3.1
Atsuki Ito Midfielder45000.1641.6−5.2
Rúben Rodrigues Midfielder6300–40.1−4.6
Sam Dalby Forward90001.1339.6−2.0
Gaizka Larrazabal Midfielder90010.3434.7−5.3
Thierry Gale Midfielder56000.0726.9−14.8
Kyliane Dong Midfielder56000.5126.1−7.4
Samuel Iling Junior Midfielder34000.0224.6–

Stoke City

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Viktor Johansson Goalkeeper9000–58.4+9.2
Ben Wilmot Defender90100.2651.8+10.4
Bosun Lawal Defender21000.1651.7–
Lamine Cissé Forward69100.0846.2+4.4
Djibril Soumaré Midfielder6900–43.8+3.2
Luke Graham Defender9000–43.3+1.8
Jack McGlynn Midfielder69010.0242.0−2.1
Ben Johnson Defender9000–38.9−2.8
Eric Bocat Defender9000–38.7+2.5
Luca Bombino Defender45000.1233.0−3.8
Ethan Galbraith Midfielder90010.0730.4−17.3
Junior Tchamadeu Defender2100–28.9–
George Hirst Forward2100–28.5–
Justin Devenny Midfielder4500–23.0−22.8
Maksym Talovierov Defender2000–15.7–