Matchday

Championship 26/27 · 13 Oct 2026

Cardiff City 5–1 Watford

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
2.1 – 0.9
Actual xG
3.7 – 1.5
Goals
5 – 1

Footybot made Cardiff City favourites at 65%.

Cardiff City won and made the better chances: 3.7 xG to 1.5.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Nathan Trott, 58.9 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Stephy Mavididi +10.9, Nathan Trott +10.1, Ollie Tanner +9.4.

Well below it: Gabriel Osho −20.7, Jordan Zemura −14.7, Chris Willock −13.9.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Cardiff City

10 Oct 2026L 1–2at Blackburn Rovers Championship
19 Sep 2026W 3–1v Charlton Athletic Championship
12 Sep 2026L 0–1at Bolton Wanderers Championship
8 Sep 2026D 1–1v Stoke City Championship
5 Sep 2026L 0–2at Portsmouth Championship

Watford

10 Oct 2026L 0–4v Burnley Championship
18 Sep 2026L 0–1at Bristol City Championship
12 Sep 2026L 1–2v Stoke City Championship
8 Sep 2026W 2–1v Preston North End Championship
5 Sep 2026L 0–1at West Bromwich Albion Championship

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Cardiff City

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Callum Robinson Forward8100.19100.0–
Nathan Trott Goalkeeper9000–58.9+10.1
William Fish Defender6100–57.1–
David Turnbull Midfielder21010.0353.5–
Alex Robertson Midfielder90000.0449.2+3.0
Ollie Tanner Midfielder82100.8047.7+9.4
Perry Ng Defender90010.0141.9+3.7
Jack Moylan Midfielder69201.6641.7−0.6
Joel Colwill Midfielder9000–39.6−0.5
Cian Ashford Midfielder90010.0338.6−4.5
Calum Scanlon Defender2100–34.2–
Joel Bagan Defender82000.0234.1−6.9
Isaak Davies Forward800–33.2–
Chris Willock Midfielder69000.7931.0−13.9
Dylan Lawlor Defender29000.0430.2–
Gabriel Osho Defender90000.0829.6−20.7

Watford

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Iker Bravo Forward23010.0355.5–
Federico Ravaglia Goalkeeper9000–49.6−1.4
Hector Kyprianou Midfielder90100.3247.2+2.5
Kévin Keben Biakolo Defender9000–47.1+8.0
Mamadou Doumbia Forward34000.2146.3–
Krépin Diatta Midfielder2100–45.1–
Edo Kayembe Midfielder90000.0444.4+2.1
Matthew Pollock Defender9000–43.1−2.4
Stephy Mavididi Midfielder56000.0442.7+10.9
Myron Boadu Forward56000.1838.9−8.8
Martín Payero Midfielder67000.3338.1−5.3
Amin Nabizada Forward3400–35.9–
Omar Haktab Traore Defender9000–33.4−0.8
Othmane Maamma Midfielder69000.2030.0−8.8
Marc Bola Defender3400–29.7–
Jordan Zemura Midfielder56000.1126.9−14.7