FOOTYBOT
Matchday

UEFA Conference League 26/27 · 15 Oct 2026

Atalanta 3–1 Pafos FC

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.8 – 0.9
Actual xG
3.0 – 0.9
Goals
3 – 1

Footybot made Atalanta favourites at 60%.

Atalanta won and made the better chances: 3.0 xG to 0.9.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Radosław Majecki, 58.5 in 94′.

Well above their usual level: Radosław Majecki +12.5, Biel +10.4, Sead Kolašinac +9.3.

Well below it: Marco Carnesecchi −14.5, Vlad Dragomir −10.0, Nicola Zalewski −9.7.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Atalanta

12 Oct 2026W 3–1v Venezia Serie A
20 Sep 2026L 0–2at Juventus Serie A
12 Sep 2026L 1–2v Cagliari Serie A
5 Sep 2026L 1–2at AS Roma Serie A
31 Aug 2026W 1–0v Bologna Serie A

Pafos FC

27 Aug 2026D 2–2v Dinamo City Conference League
20 Aug 2026D 1–1at Dinamo City Conference League
13 Aug 2026D 3–3v Red Bull Salzburg Europa League
6 Aug 2026L 0–1at Red Bull Salzburg Europa League
30 Jul 2026W 2–0v HNK Hajduk Split Europa League

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Atalanta

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Giacomo Raspadori Forward21110.94100.0–
Lazar Samardžić Midfielder27000.0761.3–
Charles De Ketelaere Forward73010.3457.0+6.2
Mario Pašalić Midfielder6700–56.8+7.3
Eljif Elmas Midfielder94100.4655.1+9.1
Thomas Kristensen Defender80000.0954.0+0.4
Gianluca Scamacca Forward94100.9553.0+3.4
Davide Zappacosta Midfielder9400–52.5+4.3
Gianluca Gaetano Midfielder94000.0751.7+4.8
Sead Kolašinac Defender9400–51.5+9.3
Nicola Zalewski Midfielder67000.0445.8−9.7
Lorenzo Bernasconi Midfielder9400–42.5−8.0
Éderson Midfielder2700–42.4–
Marco Carnesecchi Goalkeeper9400–41.5−14.5
Javison Idele Midfielder1400–40.7–

Pafos FC

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Radosław Majecki Goalkeeper9400–58.5+12.5
Biel Forward94100.4953.9+10.4
Anderson Silva Forward25010.0252.2–
Ken Sema Midfielder5700–48.8−5.5
Ivan Šunjić Midfielder9400–48.2+5.0
Guga Midfielder2500–45.4–
Lelê Forward69000.3643.4–
Domingos Quina Midfielder4500–43.3+7.9
David Luiz Defender3700–43.2–
Samy Mmaee Defender9400–43.0–
Pêpê Midfielder69000.0142.5−5.8
Bruno Defender4500–41.2−3.6
João Correia Midfielder4900–41.2−2.6
Alexandre Brito Midfielder4900–39.2–
Nikolas Ioannou Defender9400–37.7–
Vlad Dragomir Midfielder94000.0336.9−10.0