Championship 26/27 · 17 Oct 2026

Derby County 0–1 Stoke City

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Derby County favourites at 53%.

Stoke City won a close one on the chances: 0.6 xG to 1.0.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Luke Graham, 63.8 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Luke Graham +21.9, Bosun Lawal +16.6, Luca Bombino +9.7.

Well below it: Ryan Hedges −12.6, Sammie Szmodics −11.2, Ben Wilmot −10.7.

Each side's last five results before this match.

14 Oct 2026	L 1–4	at Queens Park Rangers Championship
10 Oct 2026	D 1–1	v Wrexham Championship
19 Sep 2026	D 1–1	at Burnley Championship
12 Sep 2026	L 1–2	v Birmingham City Championship
9 Sep 2026	L 0–1	v West Bromwich Albion Championship

13 Oct 2026	L 2–3	v Middlesbrough Championship
10 Oct 2026	W 2–1	at Bolton Wanderers Championship
19 Sep 2026	W 2–1	v Sheffield United Championship
12 Sep 2026	W 2–1	at Watford Championship
8 Sep 2026	D 1–1	at Cardiff City Championship

6 Apr 2026	Derby County 2–0 Stoke City Championship
9 Aug 2025	Stoke City 3–1 Derby County Championship

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Dion Sanderson Defender	90	–	56.0	+4.0
Filip Bilbija Forward	8	–	47.5	–
Carlton Morris Forward	90	0.19	44.7	+6.1
Josh Vickers Goalkeeper	90	–	44.3	−3.7
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen Forward	8	0.06	42.5	–
Corey Blackett-Taylor Midfielder	8	–	42.1	–
Lewis Travis Midfielder	52	–	40.8	+3.6
Ryan Nyambe Defender	90	–	37.5	−0.2
Henrik Wendel Meister Forward	17	0.01	33.8	–
David Ozoh Midfielder	90	0.32	33.8	−9.2
Mohammed Fuseini Forward	73	0.07	33.4	−7.8
Joe Ward Midfielder	90	–	32.8	−1.9
Bobby Clark Midfielder	87	0.08	32.4	−4.3
Rhian Brewster Forward	38	0.09	32.0	–
Ryan Hedges Midfielder	87	–	29.0	−12.6
Sammie Szmodics Midfielder	87	0.17	27.9	−11.2

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Luke Graham Defender	90	1	0	0.07	63.8	+21.9
Maksym Talovierov Defender	22	0	0	–	58.8	–
Viktor Johansson Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	55.6	+4.6
Bosun Lawal Defender	68	0	0	–	54.7	+16.6
Ben Johnson Defender	90	0	0	0.02	47.3	+7.4
Jack McGlynn Midfielder	45	0	0	0.11	45.8	+3.7
Djibril Soumaré Midfielder	90	0	0	0.02	44.9	+4.3
Luca Bombino Defender	52	0	0	–	44.6	+9.7
Ethan Galbraith Midfielder	90	0	1	0.08	44.0	−0.5
Róbert Boženík Forward	22	0	0	–	42.5	–
George Hirst Forward	45	0	0	0.07	41.4	+2.0
Lamine Cissé Forward	68	0	0	–	38.9	−2.4
Justin Devenny Midfielder	87	0	0	0.14	36.8	−6.0
Ben Wilmot Defender	90	0	0	0.01	35.1	−10.7
Eric Bocat Defender	38	0	0	0.03	34.0	–
Junior Tchamadeu Defender	8	0	0	–	21.3	–