Lille 1–1 Paris Saint-Germain
Picked for matchday: Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 24% · Standout: Ethan Mbappé scored 100.0 · Breakout watch: Lucas Beraldo
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.4 – 1.7
- Actual xG
- 0.6 – 1.5
- Goals
- 1 – 1
Footybot made Paris Saint-Germain favourites at 43%.
Paris Saint-Germain deserved more from the draw, creating 1.5 xG to 0.6.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Lucas Beraldo, 68.5 in 90′.
Well above their usual level: Lucas Hernández +19.0, Berke Özer +10.2, Benjamin André +8.6.
Well below it: Nabil Bentaleb −10.2, Ibrahim Mbaye −8.3.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Lille
| 2 Oct 2025 | W 1–0 | at AS Roma |
| 28 Sep 2025 | L 0–1 | v Olympique Lyonnais |
| 25 Sep 2025 | W 2–1 | v SK Brann |
| 20 Sep 2025 | L 0–3 | at RC Lens |
| 14 Sep 2025 | W 2–1 | v Toulouse |
Paris Saint-Germain
| 1 Oct 2025 | W 2–1 | at FC Barcelona |
| 27 Sep 2025 | W 2–0 | v Auxerre |
| 22 Sep 2025 | L 0–1 | at Olympique de Marseille |
| 17 Sep 2025 | W 4–0 | v Atalanta |
| 14 Sep 2025 | W 2–0 | v RC Lens |
Head to head
No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.
Lille
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Mbappé | 9 | 100.0 | – |
| Hakon Arnar Haraldsson | 66 | 64.1 | +5.4 |
| Félix Correia | 24 | 59.3 | – |
| Osame Sahraoui | 24 | 59.3 | – |
| Berke Özer | 90 | 57.1 | +10.2 |
| Benjamin André | 90 | 55.4 | +8.6 |
| Romain Perraud | 90 | 55.1 | +3.7 |
| Hamza Igamane | 14 | 55.0 | – |
| Aïssa Mandi | 90 | 48.5 | −2.7 |
| Matías Fernández-Pardo | 81 | 47.2 | −6.7 |
| Olivier Giroud | 76 | 46.6 | −4.7 |
| Nathan Ngoy | 90 | 46.6 | −6.6 |
| Ayyoub Bouaddi | 90 | 44.9 | −6.8 |
| Nabil Bentaleb | 66 | 43.1 | −10.2 |
| Thomas Meunier | 76 | 42.0 | −6.1 |
| Tiago Santos | 14 | 27.0 | – |
Paris Saint-Germain
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nuno Mendes | 31 | 83.0 | – |
| Lucas Beraldo | 90 | 68.5 | +6.3 |
| Lucas Hernández | 68 | 65.0 | +19.0 |
| Kang-in Lee | 90 | 63.6 | +4.6 |
| Bradley Barcola | 59 | 60.9 | +3.7 |
| Willian Pacho | 90 | 56.2 | +0.9 |
| Warren Zaïre-Emery | 90 | 54.3 | +1.3 |
| Quentin Ndjantou | 90 | 49.8 | – |
| Senny Mayulu | 59 | 49.3 | −3.8 |
| Vitinha | 31 | 48.1 | – |
| Lucas Chevalier | 90 | 47.7 | −2.0 |
| Gonçalo Ramos | 90 | 44.8 | −4.4 |
| Ilya Zabarnyi | 22 | 44.7 | – |
| Ibrahim Mbaye | 59 | 41.8 | −8.3 |
| Achraf Hakimi | 31 | 39.6 | – |