Hibernian 1–1 St. Mirren
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.2 – 0.8
- Actual xG
- 2.4 – 0.8
- Goals
- 1 – 1
Footybot made Hibernian favourites at 44%.
Hibernian deserved more from the draw, creating 2.4 xG to 0.8.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Miguel Freckleton, 64.8 in 90′.
Well above their usual level: Marcus Fraser +12.8, Jordan Smith +11.5, Declan John +11.4.
Well below it: Junior Hoilett −11.3.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Hibernian
| 28 Aug 2025 | D 3–3 | at Legia Warszawa |
| 21 Aug 2025 | L 1–2 | v Legia Warszawa |
| 14 Aug 2025 | L 2–3 | v FK Partizan |
| 10 Aug 2025 | D 2–2 | v Kilmarnock |
| 7 Aug 2025 | W 2–0 | at FK Partizan |
St. Mirren
| 24 Aug 2025 | D 1–1 | v Rangers |
| 9 Aug 2025 | D 0–0 | v Motherwell |
| 3 Aug 2025 | L 0–1 | at Celtic |
Head to head
No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.
Hibernian
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie McGrath | 26 | 64.5 | – |
| Rocky Bushiri | 90 | 57.1 | +5.5 |
| Jordan Smith | 90 | 52.1 | +11.5 |
| Grant Hanley | 90 | 49.1 | – |
| Nicky Cadden | 90 | 48.6 | – |
| Jack Iredale | 82 | 45.6 | +2.2 |
| Dylan Levitt | 90 | 43.1 | +1.9 |
| Thibault Klidjé | 90 | 42.8 | – |
| Kieron Bowie | 26 | 42.5 | – |
| Junior Hoilett | 64 | 41.1 | −11.3 |
| Chris Cadden | 64 | 40.6 | −4.9 |
| Miguel Changa Chaiwa | 90 | 37.1 | – |
| Martin Boyle | 64 | 34.8 | +3.0 |
| Josh Mulligan | 26 | 23.2 | – |
| Jordan Obita | 8 | 5.4 | – |
St. Mirren
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Freckleton | 90 | 64.8 | – |
| Richard King | 63 | 56.6 | – |
| Shamal George | 90 | 54.5 | −4.4 |
| Declan John | 90 | 54.1 | +11.4 |
| Mikael Mandron | 90 | 51.7 | +7.6 |
| Marcus Fraser | 90 | 50.8 | +12.8 |
| Jayden Richardson | 90 | 49.4 | +9.9 |
| Mark O'Hara | 90 | 49.3 | +11.1 |
| Killian Phillips | 27 | 47.5 | – |
| Alexander Gogić | 90 | 47.0 | +1.3 |
| Jonah Ayunga | 81 | 45.0 | – |
| Keanu Baccus | 90 | 40.8 | – |
| Evan Mooney | 9 | 40.3 | – |