Championship 25/26 · 4 Oct 2025

Derby County 1–1 Southampton

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Southampton favourites at 42%.

A draw the chances agree with: 1.4 xG to 1.1.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Alex McCarthy, 59.9 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Matt Clarke +9.0, David Ozoh +8.7, Patrick Agyemang +8.5.

Well below it: Lewis Travis −10.2, Bobby Clark −9.2.

Each side's last five results before this match.

30 Sep 2025	D 1–1	v Charlton Athletic Championship
27 Sep 2025	D 1–1	at Wrexham Championship
20 Sep 2025	L 0–1	v Preston North End Championship
13 Sep 2025	W 1–0	at West Bromwich Albion Championship
30 Aug 2025	D 2–2	at Ipswich Town Championship

30 Sep 2025	W 2–1	at Sheffield United Championship
27 Sep 2025	D 1–1	v Middlesbrough Championship
20 Sep 2025	L 1–3	at Hull City Championship
14 Sep 2025	D 0–0	v Portsmouth Championship
30 Aug 2025	D 2–2	at Watford Championship

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Jacob Widell Zetterström Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	58.0	+8.4
Rhian Brewster Forward	22	0	0	–	52.0	–
Matt Clarke Defender	90	0	0	–	50.7	+9.0
Ebou Adams Midfielder	21	0	0	–	48.4	–
David Ozoh Midfielder	69	0	0	–	48.1	+8.7
Andreas Weimann Forward	79	0	1	0.81	48.0	–
Patrick Agyemang Forward	79	1	0	0.29	46.1	+8.5
Dion Sanderson Defender	90	0	0	–	42.8	+2.6
Carlton Morris Forward	86	0	0	0.18	41.4	−5.2
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen Forward	10	0	0	–	40.6	–
Joe Ward Midfielder	11	0	0	–	40.4	–
Craig Forsyth Defender	90	0	0	0.03	30.3	−3.1
Lewis Travis Midfielder	90	0	0	–	29.7	−10.2
Bobby Clark Midfielder	68	0	0	–	26.1	−9.2
Kayden Jackson Forward	11	0	0	0.10	25.5	–
Max Johnston Defender	90	0	0	–	23.4	−4.7

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Alex McCarthy Goalkeeper	90	0	–	59.9	–
Ryan Manning Midfielder	90	0	0.21	53.6	−1.6
Ross Stewart Forward	30	0	0.04	53.4	–
Adam Armstrong Forward	90	1	0.52	51.3	+7.1
Nathan Wood Defender	90	0	–	46.4	+1.1
Caspar Jander Midfielder	90	0	–	44.3	−1.1
Ronnie Edwards Defender	90	0	–	43.9	+3.0
Finn Azaz Midfielder	11	0	0.03	42.5	–
Tom Fellows Midfielder	60	0	0.16	42.0	+1.5
Ryan Fraser Midfielder	79	0	–	41.5	−0.4
Shea Charles Midfielder	79	0	0.03	41.4	−4.3
Joshua Quarshie Defender	90	0	–	39.1	+0.0
Leo Scienza Midfielder	60	0	0.07	39.1	–
Flynn Downes Midfielder	11	0	–	35.2	–
Damion Downs Forward	30	0	–	31.9	–