FOOTYBOT
Matchday

Championship 25/26 · 25 Oct 2025

Portsmouth 0–1 Stoke City

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.5 – 0.9
Actual xG
1.8 – 0.9
Goals
0 – 1

Footybot made Portsmouth favourites at 49%.

Stoke City won although Portsmouth made the better chances (1.8 xG to 0.9): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Viktor Johansson, 62.8 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Lewis Baker +10.2, Viktor Johansson +9.5.

Well below it: Regan Poole −19.7, Connor Ogilvie −13.5, Andre Dozzell −11.1.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Portsmouth

21 Oct 2025L 1–2v Coventry City Championship
18 Oct 2025D 1–1at Leicester City Championship
4 Oct 2025W 1–0v Middlesbrough Championship
1 Oct 2025D 2–2v Watford Championship
27 Sep 2025L 1–2at Ipswich Town Championship

Stoke City

21 Oct 2025L 0–2at Millwall Championship
18 Oct 2025W 1–0v Wrexham Championship
4 Oct 2025D 1–1at Blackburn Rovers Championship
30 Sep 2025D 0–0at Middlesbrough Championship
27 Sep 2025D 1–1v Norwich City Championship

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Portsmouth

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Josef Bursik Goalkeeper9000–56.2+5.2
Josh Knight Defender1900–44.6–
Josh Murphy Midfielder2300–44.4–
Colby Bishop Forward90000.1740.9+0.9
Makenzie Kirk Forward90001.3540.7–
Conor Chaplin Midfielder9000–39.8+3.7
Marlon Pack Midfielder90000.1739.5−4.4
Hayden Matthews Defender7100–37.5–
Yang Min-hyeok Midfielder67000.0934.2−7.9
Jordan Lee Williams Defender6700–32.6−4.3
Andre Dozzell Midfielder8500–32.2−11.1
Márk Kosznovszky Midfielder1400–26.8–
Regan Poole Defender9000–22.1−19.7
Connor Ogilvie Defender90000.0521.4−13.5
Terry Devlin Defender2300–15.1–

Stoke City

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Viktor Johansson Goalkeeper9000–62.8+9.5
Ashley Phillips Defender90000.2852.7+5.9
Lewis Baker Midfielder8900–50.8+10.2
Ben Wilmot Defender9000–47.2+1.4
Maksym Talovierov Defender9000–45.6–
Divin Mubama Forward90000.3840.8−0.1
Ben Pearson Midfielder8900–40.4−1.8
Aaron Cresswell Defender90000.0240.0+4.1
Tomáš Rigo Midfielder19000.0336.3–
Jun-Ho Bae Midfielder71000.0436.2−4.0
Tatsuki Seko Midfielder100–36.1–
Sorba Thomas Midfielder9000–34.7−7.5
Million Manhoef Midfielder90000.1733.8−8.7
Steven​ N'Zonzi Midfielder800–28.1–