UEFA Champions League 25/26 · 5 Nov 2025

Olympique de Marseille 0–1 Atalanta

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Oct 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Olympique de Marseille favourites at 50%.

Atalanta won a close one on the chances: 1.3 xG to 0.9.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Marco Carnesecchi, 68.5 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Marco Carnesecchi +13.5, Mason Greenwood +9.5, Odilon Kossounou +8.4.

Well below it: Raoul Bellanova −16.6, Igor Paixão −12.1, Ademola Lookman −10.5.

Each side's last five results before this match.

1 Nov 2025	W 1–0	at Auxerre Ligue 1
29 Oct 2025	D 2–2	v Angers Ligue 1
25 Oct 2025	L 1–2	at RC Lens Ligue 1
22 Oct 2025	L 1–2	at Sporting CP Champions League
18 Oct 2025	W 6–2	v Le Havre Ligue 1

1 Nov 2025	L 0–1	at Udinese Serie A
28 Oct 2025	D 1–1	v AC Milan Serie A
25 Oct 2025	D 1–1	at Cremonese Serie A
22 Oct 2025	D 0–0	v SK Slavia Praha Champions League
19 Oct 2025	D 0–0	v Lazio Serie A

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Angel Gomes Midfielder	11	0.04	100.0	–
Mason Greenwood Midfielder	90	0.15	64.5	+9.5
Benjamin Pavard Defender	90	0.11	56.9	+4.3
Nayef Aguerd Defender	90	0.02	52.8	−3.7
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg Midfielder	90	0.32	52.0	−6.0
Conrad Jaden Egan-Riley Defender	79	–	51.2	+3.9
Gerónimo Rulli Goalkeeper	90	–	48.4	−8.4
Matt O'Riley Midfielder	90	0.12	47.2	−2.8
Ulisses Garcia Defender	89	0.02	43.5	+2.8
Amir Murillo Defender	90	0.05	42.3	−5.3
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang Forward	90	0.07	41.1	−9.5
Robinio Vaz Forward	19	–	39.0	–
Tadjidine Mmadi Forward	1	–	38.3	–
Igor Paixão Midfielder	71	–	35.4	−12.1

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Lazar Samardžić Midfielder	13	1	0	0.04	100.0	–
Marco Carnesecchi Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	68.5	+13.5
Yunus Musah Midfielder	15	0	0	–	59.8	–
Odilon Kossounou Defender	55	0	0	–	58.2	+8.4
Charles De Ketelaere Forward	85	0	0	0.82	57.2	−1.5
Berat Djimsiti Defender	90	0	0	–	56.9	+6.2
Davide Zappacosta Midfielder	90	0	0	–	55.7	+7.7
Honest Ahanor Defender	90	0	0	–	49.5	+1.3
Mario Pašalić Midfielder	45	0	0	–	49.0	−2.3
Éderson Midfielder	90	0	1	0.02	45.0	−1.3
Nikola Krstović Forward	85	0	0	0.11	42.8	−9.9
Isak Hien Defender	35	0	0	–	42.4	–
Marten de Roon Midfielder	45	0	0	–	42.2	−5.0
Raoul Bellanova Midfielder	90	0	0	0.19	41.3	−16.6
Gianluca Scamacca Forward	13	0	0	–	41.1	–
Ademola Lookman Forward	75	0	0	0.08	40.9	−10.5