Matchday

Premiership 25/26 · 3 Dec 2025

Heart of Midlothian 1–1 Kilmarnock

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Nov 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
2.4 – 0.7
Actual xG
1.1 – 1.7
Goals
1 – 1

Footybot made Heart of Midlothian favourites at 75%.

Kilmarnock deserved more from the draw, creating 1.7 xG to 1.1.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Lewis Mayo, 59.8 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Lewis Mayo +22.1, James Brown +11.3, Greg Kiltie +10.0.

Well below it: Harry Milne −22.3, Cameron Devlin −8.4, Alexandros Kyziridis −8.1.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Heart of Midlothian

29 Nov 2025D 0–0at Motherwell Scottish Premiership
23 Nov 2025L 0–1at Aberdeen Scottish Premiership
9 Nov 2025D 1–1v Dundee United Scottish Premiership
1 Nov 2025W 4–0v Dundee FC Scottish Premiership
29 Oct 2025D 2–2at St. Mirren Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock

29 Nov 2025D 1–1v Dundee United Scottish Premiership
22 Nov 2025L 1–3v Motherwell Scottish Premiership
9 Nov 2025L 0–4at Celtic Scottish Premiership
1 Nov 2025L 1–3at Falkirk FC Scottish Premiership
29 Oct 2025L 0–1v Aberdeen Scottish Premiership

Head to head

18 Oct 2025Kilmarnock 0–3 Heart of Midlothian Scottish Premiership

Heart of Midlothian

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Oisin McEntee Defender900–58.9–
Alexander Schwolow Goalkeeper9000–54.9+0.9
Alan Forrest Midfielder66000.0141.0–
Lawrence Shankland Forward90100.7039.4−6.7
Cameron Devlin Midfielder90000.0937.7−8.4
Tomas Magnusson Midfielder90000.2134.8–
Blair Spittal Midfielder24000.0834.5–
Alexandros Kyziridis Midfielder90000.0232.5−8.1
Harry Milne Defender9000–22.6−22.3
Christian Borchgrevink Defender8100–9.2–

Kilmarnock

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Bruce Anderson Forward20100.6392.5–
Lewis Mayo Defender9000–59.8+22.1
Marcus Dackers Forward20000.1454.0–
Greg Kiltie Midfielder90000.0349.7+10.0
James Brown Defender90000.7446.5+11.3
Jack Thomson Midfielder6200–44.7–
David Watson Midfielder28000.0243.2–
Tom Lowery Midfielder7000–41.8+1.5
Ethan Brown Defender7000–41.6–
Bradley Lyons Midfielder81000.0739.4−1.9
Dominic Thompson Defender9000–38.8+2.7
Tyreece John-Jules Forward70000.0436.0–