Super Lig 25/26 · 14 Dec 2025

Fatih Karagümrük 1–1 Kocaelispor

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Nov 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot saw it as open: Fatih Karagümrük 37%, the draw 33%, Kocaelispor 30%.

Kocaelispor deserved more from the draw, creating 1.6 xG to 1.0.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: David Datro Fofana, 60.2 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: David Datro Fofana +21.0, Hrvoje Smolčić +12.0, Serginho +10.3.

Well below it: Atakan Çankaya −10.5.

Each side's last five results before this match.

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
David Datro Fofana Forward	90	1	0	0.60	60.2	+21.0
Ivo Grbić Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	59.2	+9.5
Baris Kalayci Midfielder	11	0	0	–	51.0	–
Serginho Midfielder	90	0	0	0.28	50.4	+10.3
Çağtay Kurukalıp Defender	90	0	0	0.06	48.1	+4.3
Daniel Johnson Midfielder	79	0	1	–	42.6	−0.9
Marius Tresor Doh Midfielder	90	0	0	–	41.1	+2.6
Jure Balkovec Defender	90	0	0	0.02	39.4	+2.7
Tarik Bugra Kalpakli Forward	8	0	0	–	39.1	–
Anıl Yiğit Çınar Defender	11	0	0	–	37.2	–
Matías Kranevitter Midfielder	89	0	0	–	36.5	−2.2
Berkay Özcan Midfielder	87	0	0	–	35.6	−4.5
Atakan Çankaya Defender	90	0	0	–	35.2	−10.5
Ricardo Esgaio Defender	90	0	0	–	34.5	−3.6

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Bruno Petković Forward	22	1	0	0.78	85.5	–
Rigoberto Rivas Midfielder	18	0	0	–	64.6	–
Hrvoje Smolčić Defender	90	0	1	0.13	57.6	+12.0
Botond Balogh Defender	72	0	0	0.01	51.6	+5.4
Anfernee Jamal Dijksteel Defender	90	0	0	–	46.7	+4.4
Habib Keita Midfielder	85	0	0	0.01	45.5	+4.1
Serdar Dursun Forward	68	0	0	0.24	45.4	+0.7
Tayfur Bingöl Midfielder	90	0	0	0.04	44.8	−2.3
Aleksandar Jovanović Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	44.0	−7.2
Show Midfielder	72	0	0	0.03	43.3	+0.9
Karol Linetty Midfielder	90	0	0	0.16	41.4	−0.7
Dan Agyei Forward	90	0	0	0.10	40.3	−3.3
Massadio Haïdara Defender	90	0	0	–	35.8	−7.8
Furkan Gedik Forward	13	0	0	–	33.1	–
Darko Churlinov Midfielder	18	0	0	0.06	27.4	–