Hibernian 3–2 Heart of Midlothian
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.7 – 1.1
- Actual xG
- 1.5 – 1.8
- Goals
- 3 – 2
Footybot made Hibernian favourites at 52%.
Hibernian won a close one on the chances: 1.5 xG to 1.8.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Craig Halkett, 95.7 in 90′.
Well above their usual level: Craig Halkett +41.3, Stephen Kingsley +22.6, Alexandros Kyziridis +19.1.
Well below it: Warren O'Hora −13.0, Grant Hanley −11.0, Alexander Schwolow −10.2.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Hibernian
| 20 Dec 2025 | D 1–1 | at Dundee United |
| 15 Dec 2025 | L 0–1 | at Rangers |
| 6 Dec 2025 | W 3–0 | v Falkirk FC |
| 30 Nov 2025 | L 1–2 | v Celtic |
| 25 Nov 2025 | L 0–2 | at Motherwell |
Heart of Midlothian
| 21 Dec 2025 | W 2–1 | v Rangers |
| 13 Dec 2025 | W 2–0 | at Falkirk FC |
| 7 Dec 2025 | W 2–1 | at Celtic |
| 3 Dec 2025 | D 1–1 | v Kilmarnock |
| 29 Nov 2025 | D 0–0 | at Motherwell |
Head to head
| 4 Oct 2025 | Heart of Midlothian 1–0 Hibernian |
Hibernian
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raphael Sallinger | 90 | 55.1 | +1.2 |
| Jamie McGrath | 90 | 53.9 | +8.4 |
| Nicky Cadden | 30 | 52.6 | – |
| Thibault Klidjé | 13 | 47.9 | – |
| Kieron Bowie | 90 | 44.7 | +3.5 |
| Grant Hanley | 90 | 43.5 | −11.0 |
| Josh Campbell | 60 | 43.5 | +5.0 |
| Martin Boyle | 84 | 43.3 | −2.6 |
| Josh Mulligan | 64 | 43.3 | +4.4 |
| Joe Newell | 26 | 34.9 | – |
| Daniel Barlaser | 90 | 32.1 | −8.9 |
| Kanayochukwu Megwa | 84 | 31.6 | – |
| Warren O'Hora | 90 | 30.4 | −13.0 |
| Jack Iredale | 90 | 28.1 | −3.2 |
| Chris Cadden | 13 | 23.2 | – |
Heart of Midlothian
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Craig Halkett | 90 | 95.7 | +41.3 |
| Stephen Kingsley | 45 | 60.4 | +22.6 |
| Alexandros Kyziridis | 90 | 57.3 | +19.1 |
| Lawrence Shankland | 90 | 54.8 | +12.6 |
| Beni Baningime | 45 | 54.3 | +11.3 |
| Stuart Findlay | 81 | 52.6 | +4.2 |
| Cameron Devlin | 90 | 51.8 | +9.0 |
| Michael Steinwender | 90 | 51.5 | +12.4 |
| Oisin McEntee | 45 | 48.8 | +10.1 |
| Harry Milne | 45 | 47.6 | +3.8 |
| Alexander Schwolow | 90 | 41.8 | −10.2 |
| Tomas Magnusson | 88 | 39.8 | +1.6 |
| Cláudio Braga | 73 | 37.6 | −5.3 |
| Elton Kabangu | 17 | 37.2 | – |
| Sabah Kerjota | 9 | 30.6 | – |
| James Wilson | 9 | 28.8 | – |